22 Sept 2023

White House acknowledges the pandemic is not over by offering to send out free COVID tests

Benjamin Mateus


The White House announcement that the Biden administration will resume free distribution of COVID-19 rapid antigen test kits amounts to an admission that the pandemic is not over and that the American population remains in grave danger from the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

COVID-19 antigen home tests indicating a positive result. The Biden administration is resuming free distribution through the mail. [AP Photo/Patrick Sison]

The reinstatement of free distribution of COVID-19 tests through the mail, set for September 25, is an about-face for the Biden White House, which has repeatedly flouted COVID protocols. According to the administration, $600 million will be provided to 12 manufacturers of domestic COVID-19 tests to make 200 million more test kits for distribution by the federal government.

As epidemiologist and health economist Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding, chief of the COVID Task Force at the New England Complex Systems Institute and co-founder of the World Health Network, noted on his social media, “Biden White House basically admits that COVID is not over.” However, this change in public health tactics should not be construed as a serious response to the pandemic.

Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra said yesterday at a photo opportunity with reporters, “The president wanted to make sure that no one can go without tests. We will once again up our program to make sure Americans have access to a test.” He also attempted to downplay questions from reporters that insurance companies were denying payments on COVID vaccines and the difficulty for children to obtain these life-saving shots.

Yet no one bothered to ask Becerra whether the pandemic is really over, whether the ending of the emergency phase was premature or why this sudden change in response to COVID in the White House when just less than three weeks ago Jill Biden contracted COVID again and Biden showed his clear disdain for public health when he walked to the podium unmasked during a press brief before flying to India for the G20 Summit.

He declared smiling, “I want to explain to the press, I’ve been tested again today. I’m clear across the board. But they keep telling me, because this has to be 10 days or something. I got to keep wearing it,” showing his KN95 mask. He quipped, “But don’t tell them I didn’t wear it when I walked in.”

Clearly, the hidden data sets on actual infection rates and health system capacity which HHS and CDC withhold from the public must have alarmed them and caught them off guard, given the approaching winter season. According to the only reliable early warning system in place which is currently also being employed as the only reliable tracker of the pandemic, national levels of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater peaked last week corresponding to approximately levels reached near April 2020’s peak and correspond to more than 650,000 daily COVID infections.

Modeling estimates by infectious disease modeler JP Weiland estimates that nearly 12 percent of the US population was infected during the current surge and possibly another 7 percent may become infected over the next six weeks. This would place the figure at approximately 66 million infections since the latter part of June. Since the beginning of the pandemic, 1.13 million Americans have succumbed to COVID-19 with the estimated cumulative excess deaths in this period standing at 1.36 million, according to Our World in Data.

The current variants being monitored by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), indicated EG.5 (Eris), which accounts for nearly a quarter of the sequenced Omicron variants, may be beginning its retreat giving way to the “FLip” variant FL.1.5.1 which is now approaching 14 percent of all sequences. HV.1, which does not possess a “FLip” mutation, is presently the fastest growing variant among the Omicron strains circulating.

How the highly mutated BA.2.86 (Pirola) will play out will have to be seen, as only a few sequences of this variant have been detected and analyzed (68 sequences since September 7, 2023) across several continents. As a recent Lancet report remarked, “[This] variant might be spreading silently worldwide,” leading the World Health Organization (WHO) to declare it a variant under monitoring on August 17, 2023, only three days after its initial discovery.

Recent analysis indicates that its reproductive number is 30 percent higher than the common XBB.1.5 variant which is the target of the recently approved mRNA vaccine boosters. Pirola’s reproduction number is equivalent to or even higher than that of EG.5.1, suggesting that “BA.2.86 potentially has greater fitness than current circulating XBB variants including EG.5.1.”

According to Dr. Ellie Murray, epidemiologist at Boston University, in a recent interview with the World Socialist Web Site, the current Omicron variants are as virulent as the original strain that first appeared in Wuhan in December 2019. The false idea that these variants will continue to grow more benign was dispelled with the Delta variant, but continues to be peddled by health authorities and the media. If the current strains evolve to Delta’s level of potential lethality, they will pose a major threat to the population.

Already, the current surge of infections has led to a rise in the death toll and hospitalizations. As of the week ending September 9, 2023, weekly COVID admissions reached 20,538, a three-fold higher rate than in the first week of July. These figures are projected to climb as the rollout of the COVID boosters is just getting underway. COVID weekly deaths have nearly doubled to 860 as of August 19, 2023. Given the lag in reporting fatalities, the current death toll is likely far higher.

Meanwhile, as the reality of the pandemic begins to weigh on commerce and social activities, some healthcare systems such as the University of Chicago Medical Center have turned to restoring mask mandates on their staff when in direct contact with patients. It should be recalled that many states and hospitals in 2022 had discontinued masks and screening tests for symptom-free patients.

Since these guidelines have been set aside, the actual number of in-hospital acquired and nursing home COVID infections remains unknown, but they are definitely on the rise. Lethality of a COVID infection among patients admitted is as high as 9 percent, underscoring the impact comorbidities and underlying illnesses can have with COVID regardless of prior infections or vaccinations. Anecdotally, several of this writer’s medical residents have had to take leaves of absence after contracting COVID and there are cases of people who have died at his institution after they acquired COVID as inpatients.

The CDC’s accounting suggests COVID has already killed 47,000 people in the first eight months of this year, and the pandemic remains one of the top 10 causes of death in the country for 2023.

A glimpse of the growing concern among health officials was given by the presentation made by the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) last week (September 12, 2023) when they recommended mRNA boosters be given to everyone six months of age and older.

Their modeling projections found that with “universal vaccine recommendations” in place, they can potentially avert more than 400,000 hospitalizations and over 40,000 deaths in the course of two years. Although the report didn’t offer absolute figures on what the estimates are but only differences, recent experience suggests potentially 80,000 or more people may die from COVID annually because of active severe COVID. There is no category for COVID deaths later than 30 days after infection, and the risks posed by Long COVID and post-acute COVID syndrome to the various organs in the human body is not even considered.

By all accounts, the CDC’s ending of collecting figures on excess deaths associated with COVID-19 next week only deepens their anti-public health and anti-science stance.

Additionally, the report underscores that the risks of death, invasive mechanical ventilation and intensive care unit admission increase considerably with the number of underlying medical conditions. Those with one condition can see a 50 percent increase in these risks. Those with two to five underlying conditions can see a two-to-three-fold increase.

Of those 65 years or older, more than 70 percent have at least one condition and more than 50 percent have two or more such conditions. Nearly a third of the population over 18 carries at least one underlying risk factor for a heightened risk of severe COVID for their age category.

The report summarized, “[The] COVID-19 burden is currently lower than at previous points in the pandemic, however the absolute number of hospitalizations and deaths is still high. Although hospitalization rates are currently low in some age groups, we have seen rates increase in recent weeks and anticipate further increases as we enter respiratory virus season. Infants and older adults have the highest COVID-19-associated hospitalization rates. Children and adults with no underlying medical conditions still experience severe illness due to COVID-19. High proportions of underlying conditions may put certain groups at increased risk for severe outcomes due to COVID-19.”

The report also highlighted the important fact that about one-third of the American population remains concerned about getting COVID and more than half worry about serious COVID-19 illness among their family.

The ruling elites have from day one operated under the perspective of malign neglect where the needs to maintain and accumulate profits remains their primary focus regardless of the real state of the pandemic and the risks it poses to generations of people that face repeated infections. The free COVID tests are a token to ameliorate the potential that the pandemic as a trigger event exposes the parasitic and destructive nature of the capitalist ruling elites.

Amazon to hire 250,000 new US workers, increase average starting pay to $20.50

Alex Findijs


Amazon has announced it plans to hire an additional 250,000 new workers in the United States in time for the holiday season, while increasing average starting pay from $19 to $20.50. The move will substantially increase the size of the workforce of the world’s largest retailer, which already has more than 1.5 million workers globally.

This mass hiring round will include a mix of seasonal, part-time and full-time positions and is substantially larger than last year when the company sought to bring in an additional 150,000 employees.

Amazon’s wages increases, of course, are not an act of charity, but stem from a labor crisis facing the company. In the summer of 2022 a leaked internal memo from Amazon management warned the company may exhaust the available labor supply in major cities around the country by 2024. Amazon’s incredibly high turnover rate of 150 percent per year, driven by infamous working conditions where workers are pushed to the point of exhaustion by electronic monitoring, has produced a situation where many new hires do not stay longer than 90 days and the company struggles to retain workers every year.

For years this was a preferable situation. High turnover kept labor costs down and stifled unrest among the workforce. However, now that Amazon threatens to burn through its available labor supply, there is concern among management that it cannot continue to grow unless it offers higher wages. A report by Engadget in 2022 found that high turnover rates were costing Amazon $8 billion a year. By investing a few billion in raising starting pay, Amazon hopes to increase retention and cut down on the cost that poor employee retention has on its profit margin, which was still a considerable $33.36 billion in 2021.

The announcement by nonunion Amazon comes less than a month after the “ratification” of a new five-year contract at UPS by the Teamsters union. Among other things, the wage increases at Amazon expose the UPS contract as a miserable sellout. The union bureaucrats presented the UPS deal as “historic,” primarily on the basis of an increase in starting pay for part-time warehouse workers from $16.65 to $21 per hour.

At the same time, it also created a new lower tier among part-timers, by making new hires ineligible for the $7.50 general wage increases which existing part-timers will receive over the next five years. Instead, new hires will get only a 50 cent annual wage progression, while starting pay will be frozen at $21 per hour until 2027.

Even UPS delivery drivers, one of the few relatively good-paying jobs left at the company, will get only around 18 percent pay increases over five years, less than the rate of inflation.

Since the Teamsters first allowed UPS to implement part-time work in the 1970s, part-timers have grown into a super-exploited layer covering roughly two-thirds of the shipping giant’s workforce. They frequently are unable to afford rent and even food and are forced to work multiple other jobs to make ends meet.

Like Amazon, turnover among UPS part-timers is extremely high, with only a small minority lasting five years or more at the company. They have very little opportunity to move up to full-time jobs, with many waiting years or even decades before a position opens up. The new contract pledges UPS to “create” a pathetic 7,500 new full-time jobs over five years.

As a result of decades of betrayals, which saw inflation-adjusted wages for part-timers fall by roughly two-thirds between 1978 and 2013, UPS warehouse workers have made substantially less than even nonunion Amazon workers for years. Starting pay at Amazon, depending on location, averaged between $16 and $26 per hour under the old system, and when the new UPS contract went into effect last month it finally put starting pay at slightly above the then $19 per hour average rate at Amazon.

Now, less than a month after the UPS contract was passed under dubious circumstances, that wage gap has already been substantially closed. Starting pay at Amazon under the new rates will go up to between $17 to $28 an hour, and workers in select locations may also receive a $1,000–$3,000 signing bonus. According to Amazon, an average new employee can expect a 13 percent wage increase over the next three years. Based on this figure, an Amazon worker starting at $20.50 an hour can anticipate an hourly rate of just over $23 after three years of work.

In other words, the supposedly “historic” pay increases in the UPS contract in reality only keep pace with market forces, which are driving up labor costs for many low-wage employers across the country. In fact, the contract helps to limit UPS’ exposure to the tightening labor market by freezing the starting rate at $21 per hour for four years, finally increasing to $23 per hour in the last year of the contract.

It is likely that average pay at Amazon will once again overtake UPS over the life of the contract. Amazon claims that it has raised the starting wage by more than 50 percent over the past five years. If this trend continues, then Amazon workers could make an average starting wage of around $26 by 2028, $3 more than at UPS. Indeed, Amazon may very well have followed the contract negotiations at UPS closely when projecting its wage needs over the coming years.

UPS management is openly boasting that the contract will keep labor costs down over the length of the contract and the new $21 an hour rate eliminates the need for market rate adjustments for cities with higher costs of living.

21 Sept 2023

DAAD NELGA Short-Stay Research Fellowship 2024

APPLICATION DEADLINE:

12th October 2023

Tell Me About DAAD NELGA Short-Stay Research Fellowship:

The German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) is funded by the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit
(GIZ) as commissioned by the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) to organize support measures for the “Network of Excellence for Land Governance in Africa (NELGA)”.
NELGA is a partnership of over 70 leading African universities and research institutions with proven leadership in education,
training and research on land governance.
The objectives of NELGA are:
▪ Enhancing training opportunities and curricula on land governance in Africa;
▪ Promoting demand driven research on land policy;
▪ Connecting scholars and researchers across Africa;
▪ Creating data and information for monitoring and evaluation on land policy reforms;
▪ Strengthening policy-research linkages.
DAAD is offering research fellowships for research stays or field studies in Central Africa

WHICH FIELDS ARE ELIGIBLE?

Applicants must have a background in land governance/ land management or a related field (e.g. land administration, land
economics, urban and regional planning, geomatics).
Applications must cover the following key areas:
▪ Land conflict prevention
▪ Land conflict analysis
▪ Land conflict resolution
Special consideration will be given to proposals that address topics that support NELGA’s research initiative on “Sustainable
Management of Cross-Border Agropastoralist Conflicts in Central Africa”. A factsheet on the research initiative accompanies this announcement

TYPE:

Fellowship

Who Can Apply For DAAD NELGA Short-Stay Research Fellowship?

We invite staff members, students and young researchers of NELGA partner institutions with a background in land governance or a related field to apply for funding for NELGA research fellowships.
Applicants must
▪ have completed at least a first university degree (undergraduate) at a state or state-recognized institution of higher education;
▪ be enrolled or a staff member at one of the NELGA partner universities or associated institutions;
▪ return to their studies/duty station at the end of the fellowship;
▪ be nationals of an African country;
▪ be granted leave of absence by their home institution for conducting a field study

Female applicants and candidates from less privileged regions or groups are especially encouraged to apply.

WHICH COUNTRIES ARE ELIGIBLE?

African countries 

WHERE WILL AWARD BE TAKEN?

The fellowships are tenable in the field, at a state or state-recognized institution of higher education or a non-university research institute in Central Africa. The fellowship does not provide financial support to research at the applicant’s home institution.

HOW MANY AWARDS?

Not specified

What Is The Benefit Of DAAD NELGA Short-Stay Research Fellowship?

The fellowship consists of:
▪ a flat-rate travel allowance: EUR 280 for in-country, EUR 430 for neighbouring countries, EUR 630 for in-region, EUR 980 for out of region;
▪ a monthly research allowance of EUR 460.

The fellowship does not cover living expenses. One month after the end of the fellowship the fellow must provide a detailed report on the implementation of the research and its findings. The fellowship is not renewable. Funding is only eligible once per year, per topic and per educational stage.

HOW LONG WILL AWARD LAST?

The fellowships are tenable for a period of one up to three months, depending on the project in questions and the applicant’s timetable. Only full months are fundable. The fellowship is not renewable.

How To Apply:

Applicants will be required to:

  1. register online via the DAAD-Portal (if not already registered): https://portal.daad.de/
  2. apply online under the following link: Click here
    For technical questions regarding the DAAD-Portal, please contact portal@daad.de.
    Documents to be submitted
    ▪ DAAD application form, duly filled (available in the DAAD-Portal);
    ▪ Curriculum Vitae, including list of publications (if applicable);
    ▪ detailed description of the research proposal and a description of previous research work (max. 10 pages);
    ▪ weekly schedule of planned research work;
    ▪ letter confirming supervision by an academic adviser at the host institute, which refers to the applicant’s
    proposal and confirms that the host institute will provide a workplace (not applicable for studies in the
    field);
    ▪ copies of university diplomas/certificates and transcripts of record of all annual academic examinations (incl. explanation of grading system);
    ▪ a recent reference from a university teacher which provides information about the applicant’s qualifications

Visit Award Webpage for Details

Fed pauses rate increases but indicates more to come

Nick Beams


The US Federal Reserve decided not to lift interest rates at its meeting yesterday, in line with market expectations. However, it signaled it could raise them again in at least one of its two scheduled meetings remaining for this year.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at news conference following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, Wednesday, Sept. 20, 2023, in Washington. [AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin]

After instituting a steep climb in rates, from near zero in March 2022 to their present level of 5.5 percent today, the statement issued by the Federal Open Mark Committee (FOMC) said tighter credit conditions were likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring and inflation. The extent of these effects was uncertain and it remained “highly attentive to inflation risks.”

While it is not officially stated, the biggest “inflation risk” is that workers break out of the straitjacket, to which they have so far been confined by the trade union bureaucracy, and undertake a unified struggle for wage increases to compensate for the decades-long reduction in their living standards.

As the meeting was taking place, that prospect was in evidence in the struggle of auto workers and the mounting anger over the efforts of the United Auto Workers union to atomise their struggle.

In his prepared remarks to a press conference following the meeting, Fed chair Jerome Powell again insisted that the “labour market remains tight.” Although the jobs to workers gap had narrowed, labour demand still exceeded the available supply—a situation the Fed is out to reverse.

It wants the unemployment rate to rise, with projections by members of the FOMC—the so-called dot plot—putting the jobless rate at 4.1 percent next year, up from its present level of 3.8 percent.

“FOMC participants expect the rebalancing in the labour markets to continue, easing upward pressures on inflation,” Powell said. His comment made that the central target in the “fight” against inflation is the wage demands of the working class.

Signaling that the decision not to lift rates, characterised as a “hawkish pause,” did not mean the end of hikes, Powell said that “the process of getting inflation down sustainably to 2 percent has a long way to go.”

The decision to hold rates steady did not mean that policymakers had decided that monetary policy was sufficiently restrictive, he added.

Pointing to the dot plot projections, Powell said: “You will see that a majority of participants believe that it is more likely than not… it will be appropriate for us to raise rates one more time in the two remaining meetings this year.”

In a revealing comment he said that a so-called soft landing for the US economy was not yet his baseline view.

“It’s a good thing that the economy has been able to hold up under the tightening that we’ve done… if the economy comes in stronger than expected, that just means we’ll have to do more in terms of monetary policy to get back to 2 percent.”

This comment expresses the perversity of capitalist economics from the standpoint the mass of the population.

The stronger the economy, the more job opportunities there are and the greater the possibility for an increase in living standards. However, as far as the Fed is concerned that is the great danger.

This perversity is not the product of a faulty mindset or thinking. It is an expression of the essential class logic of the profit system and the Fed’s policy. Economic growth must be repressed by monetary policy because it puts workers in a stronger position to fight to increase their living standards by clawing back some of the vast profits extracted from their labour.

In its statement on the latest decision, the FOMC said in determining future policy it would take into account a wide range of information including “financial and international developments.”

In these areas, there are growing problems. Over the past month, reports by three major organisations—the Fed, the Financial Stability Board, and the Bank for International Settlements—have pointed to the return of risky speculative bets by hedge funds in the US Treasury market. In March 2020 this led to a freeze in its operations.

The potential for further financial turmoil is being increased by rising global debt. This week the Institute for International Finance (IIF) reported that global debt had hit a new record high of $307 trillion in the first six months of the year after rising by $10 trillion.

Besides creating the conditions for turbulence in financial markets, the rise in debt has major social implications because it is being accompanied by rising interest rates. The US is a significant contributor, with the national debt hitting $33 trillion this week.

According to Emre Tiftik, the lead author of the IIF report: “Our concern is that countries will have to allocate more and more to interest expenses.”

In other words, in developed and less developed countries alike, spending on social services, health, education and other necessary facilities will have to be cut to meet the demands of bond holders. Already in many countries, interest payments, along with increased military outlays, are becoming the fastest growing area of government spending.

The attacks on the wages and social position of working class via the interest rate rises, spearheaded by the Fed, is taking place under conditions of a marked slowdown in the global economy.

In a report this week, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), covering 38 developed economies, insisted that interest rates had to remain high even as there were signs of stress in the world economy.

That report said global growth would remain subpar, around 3 percent this year, falling to 2.7 percent in 2024 with some areas slowing to a crawl, especially in Europe where the German economy is set to contract this year.

No matter what the cost, all the representatives of the peak capitalist economic bodies insist that the monetary policy war against the working class must continue.

Speaking to its latest report, OECD chief economist Clare Lombardelli said: “We’re seeing monetary policy have an impact. It’s reining in demand—that’s necessary to tackle this inflation challenge—but it means we have lower growth.”

20 Sept 2023

Africa’s Water and Sanitation Crisis

Cesar Chelala


Image of three women in Africa walking on a dirt road.Image of three women in Africa walking on a dirt road.

Image by Ninno JackJr.

One of the most notable changes in modern times is the rapid urbanization of our planet, which began in the 19th century. While in 1950, 29 percent of the global population lived in cities, that figure is estimated now at around 50 percent, and by 2030 it will reach 61 percent.

It is estimated that, by 2030, 54 percent of the population on that continent will be living in cities. Not only are more people living in cities but the cities themselves are becoming larger and more densely populated. This situation poses unique problems related to the provision of water, sanitation, and a healthy environment.

Since 1990, the number of cities in Africa has increased from 3 000 to 7 600, and their population has increased by 500 million people. Africa has now 19 cities with populations of more than 1 million inhabitants. Because of slow economic growth, lack of effective development policies, and limited resources, the development of infrastructure has not kept up with the increasing needs for shelter and services in growing urban populations.

This is the case for many African cities, where local governments have been unable to keep pace with change and, as a consequence, have been unable to provide dwellers with proper infrastructure related to the provision of potable water and the collection, transportation, processing, and disposal of waste materials.

In addition to the problems caused by insufficient lack of potable water, in developing countries with economies under stress, waste management is a problem that often endangers health and the environment. This situation is given low priority by governments often besieged by other problems such as poverty, hunger, children’s malnutrition, unemployment, and war.

Poor hygiene, inadequate management of liquid or solid waste, and lack of sanitation facilities are contributing factors in the death of millions of people in the developing world due to diseases that are easily preventable. In addition, people living in un-serviced or poorly serviced areas value the increased convenience and privacy associated with improved sanitation.

Lack of sanitation and inadequate disposal or storage of waste near houses can provide habitats for vectors responsible for several infectious diseases such as amebiasis, typhoid fever, and diarrhea. Uncontrolled and inadequate landfills are a danger to the environment and a health risk to the population since they may lead to contamination of water and soil. The health risks associated with poor sanitation tend to be higher in densely populated low-income urban areas. At a global level, more than 5 million people die each year from diseases related to inadequate waste disposal systems.

Contamination of water leads to a whole range of diarrheal diseases, such as cholera, that kill 1.8 million people annually worldwide. An estimated 90 percent among them are children below 5, mainly from developing countries. Most of the burden can be attributed to unsafe drinking water, inadequate sanitation, and poor hygiene practices.

The children that are affected the most are those living in low-income urban areas. According to UNICEF, infant mortality rates (IMRs) are almost always higher in poor urban areas than the national average and than those in rural areas. A great proportion of the high mortality among the children of the urban poor can be attributed to diseases common in urban areas such as diarrhea, tuberculosis, and parasitic diseases (intestinal worms) that are frequently associated with lack of safe water and sanitation. Malnutrition in children is often a consequence and a complicating factor.

Microbes, particularly those present in water, food, or on dirty hands are the most frequent cause of sickness worldwide. Although lack of safe water and sanitary facilities are significant problems, they are made even worse by ignorance in the general population, particularly mothers, about the connection between dirt, microbes, and childhood diarrhea.

Several naturally occurring and human-made chemical substances present in drinking water can have a serious effect on health, particularly in high concentrations. Among chemicals that can be dangerous at elevated levels are fluoride, arsenic, lead, cadmium, mercury, nitrates, and pesticides.

All these factors stress the need to implement policies that ensure the provision of safe water to the population, particularly in marginal areas lacking basic health and social services.

Africa has the lowest water supply and sanitation coverage of any region in the world. It is estimated that one in three Africans has no access to improved water or to sanitation facilities and the number of people lacking those basic services is increasing. The majority of those lacking basic services live in informal or suburban areas and rural communities.

It is necessary to overcome the lack of integration between the various components of environmental sanitation: excreta, domestic and industrial wastewater, solid waste, and storm water, which are often run by separate agencies or institutions. Better use of synergies can lead to more sustainable and cost-effective solutions.

New strain fueling rising COVID infection in UK

Paul Bond


COVID infection rates are rising again in Britain, which has recorded more than a third of internationally sequenced cases of the new BA.2.86 (Pirola) variant. Last week saw a week-on-week jump of 15 percent in new cases. On September 10, the Zoe Health Study reported a daily total of 100,516 new cases.

The government’s latest fortnightly flu and COVID-19 surveillance figures issued September 14 also report increased infection and hospitalisation rates.

Overall, the current COVID-19 hospital admission rate is 4.56 per 100,000 population, up from 3.37 the previous fortnight—the highest rate since April. Hospital admission rates have increased in all age groups except 15-24. For those aged over 85, the rate is 51.08 per 100,000, up from 34.15 in the previous report. ICU admission rates remain relatively stable, at 0.11 per 100,000.

Eric Feigl-Ding, a US epidemiologist, posted on X/Twitter: “This is quite shocking. 7-day hospitalizations in England for #COVID19 in kids age 0-5 has surged—spiking up by 47% in just one week, near annual high. Kids in UK are also among the least vaccinated. Don’t ignore the worrisome data.”

Testing figures also show increases in the circulation of the disease. Of 3,297 respiratory specimens reported through the Respiratory DataMart System, 10.2 percent were identified as COVID-19. This compares to 9.7 percent of the 4,288 specimens in the previous report. Positivity for pillar one (swab testing) laboratory confirmed cases has risen to 16.0 per 100,000 population from 12.5 in the previous period.

At the beginning of July, no area had a case rate of more than nine per 100,000. By the week ending September 9 (the latest available), the government’s interactive map of case rates shows most of the UK experiencing 10-49 cases per 100,000. In the area west of Glasgow, this rises to 50-99 cases per 100,000.

These figures almost certainly underestimate the real situation, as the government has eroded basic public health surveillance measures. Testing for COVID is now at its lowest point since the beginning of the pandemic.

Duncan Robertson, senior lecturer in management sciences at Loughborough Business School, told the press, “The UK’s ability to detect new variants has been compromised by the effective ending of the Office for National Statistics Coronavirus Infection Survey” which “allowed the proportions of variants… to be estimated, which could have meant that the emergence of BA.2.86 could have been better tracked.”

Leeds University virologist Professor Stephen Griffin, a member the Independent Sage scientific committee, has warned, “Lessons learned during the early part of the pandemic and before do seem to have been forgotten.”

The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has brought forward its autumn vaccination programme by three weeks in response to the spread of the Pirola variant, and said it will also scale up testing, although Griffin comments that “details at the moment are scant.” University College London (UCL)’s Professor Christina Pagel, also of Independent Sage, recently warned that Britain is close to “flying blind” in light of testing failures.

The Pirola strain has been detected in 15 countries since it was identified in Denmark in late July. Britain had recorded 37 cases of the variant by September 11, up three on the previous week, with UKHSA Incident Director Bindra suggesting “some degree of widespread community transmission.” Other cases have been reported from South Africa (17), Denmark (13), the USA (seven), France (seven), Sweden (five), Spain (four), Israel (three), Canada (two), and Australia, Germany, Japan and South Korea (one each).

Pirola has not yet been classified as more dangerous than previous variants, or as a Variant of Concern, but scientists have identified 34 mutations on its spike protein. Francois Balloux, director of the UCL Genetics Institute, described Pirola as “the most striking Sars-CoV-2 strain the world has witnessed since the emergence of Omicron.”

The World Health Organization (WHO) has said that “More data are needed to understand this… variant and the extent of its spread. But the number of mutations warrants attention.”

Pfizer and Moderna report their vaccine boosters offer “strong responses” to the targeted spike protein. However, Professor Griffin noted the “multiple preprint studies… by reputable labs” showing Pirola to be “equally, or perhaps more, antibody-evasive compared to the XBB [strains].” The XBBs, he said, are “among the most antibody-evasive strains ever encountered.”

The UK government having to accelerate its booster programme in response to the spread of another concerning variant exposes the lies of the Conservative and Labour parties which proclaimed as far back as February 2022 that the pandemic was over, and all could “live with COVID.”

Warnings are also being raised of a “twindemic” with the seasonal winter flu surge. Professor Susan Michie, professor of health psychology at UCL said in the Guardian, “We are at the start of a wave; how serious it’s going to be, we don’t know,” adding that it was unclear whether COVID is becoming seasonal. Given the existence of prior seasonal viruses such as flu and RSV, she warned that the impact on a stretched National Health Service (NHS) is “potentially dangerous.”

An outbreak in a Norfolk care home earlier this month gave a horrible snapshot of the dangers, prompting the sort of wholesale systematic testing which is no longer being carried out generally.

Testing revealed that 33 of the 38 residents of Shipdham Manor in Dereham and 12 members of staff had contracted COVID. Of these, 28 cases were confirmed as Pirola. One resident required hospitalisation.

The rise in COVID cases, in Britain as everywhere, is the inevitable result of the decision not to control the spread of the virus. The refusal to implement systematic monitoring and public health measures has allowed COVID-19 free rein to mutate, potentially beyond the ability of current vaccines to control. The Eris variant, EG.5.1, first identified by the WHO last month, is now the second most prevalent variant in the UK after Arcturus (XBB.1.16), and the most common variant in the US.

Eris was first flagged early in July after increased detection internationally. Virology Professor Lawrence Young noted that its key difference from other Omicron variants was an additional mutation in the spike protein “which might account for its ability to evade the neutralising antibody response from previous Omicron infections.”

A third new variant, Pi (BA.6) is also a variant of Omicron. Pi has not yet been widely sequenced, with records only from Denmark and Israel. Christina Pagel commented that although it is “very, very early days,” Pi has “a lot of new mutations that make it very different to previous Omicron strains.” 

A section of the 500-metre-long National Covid Memorial Wall in May 2021, which had 150,000 hearts on representing the number of people who have lost their lives to COVID. The wall is opposite the Houses of Parliament in London. In the months since the UK death toll has risen to above 200,000.

Professor Young told The Independent the new variants are “competing with each other and are continuing to change as they spread.” Pointing to the “rise in symptomatic… infections” and the “small but significant increase in hospitalisations due to COVID,” he warned that it is “very likely that we will see waves of infection over the winter.”

Griffin criticised a continuation of the government’s “vaccine-only strategy,” which “fails to recognise and account for airborne Sars-CoV-2 transmission, including in healthcare settings” as well as the “long-term consequences of COVID.”

The vaccine-only strategy in any case only applies to a shrinking minority of the population. Last month, the government’s Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation issued guidance to the NHS barring 12 million people who had previously been eligible from receiving a free COVID vaccine. Britons between the ages of 50 and 64, except those classed as “vulnerable”, will not receive an additional booster dose. The same 12 million people are to be deprived of a free flu vaccine.

According to the governments’ own figures, over 229,000 people have been killed by COVID in Britain. The Economist magazine’s more accurate Estimated Excess Deaths tracker suggests a death toll in the range of 240,000 to 250,000.

VW in Germany cuts at least 2,200 jobs at its Zwickau plant and threatens other sites

Ludwig Weller


At a factory meeting last week at the Zwickau plant in Germany, management of Volkswagen Saxony announced that 269 workers would immediately lose their temporary jobs. About 2,200 of the total 11,000 employees in Zwickau have fixed-term contracts. In view of the rapid decline in demand for VW’s expensive electric cars, at least these 2,200 workers must expect that their contracts, which expire next year, will not be renewed in the coming weeks and months. It has not been announced whether more jobs are on the list to be cut.

VW plant in Wolfsburg

Three years ago, the Zwickau plant was converted into Europe’s first purely electric car factory. In addition to VW models ID.3, ID.4 and ID.5, the Audi Q4 e-tron and Q4 Sportback e-tron as well as the Cupra Born are produced there. At the time, VW, the state government and the IG Metall union claimed that secure jobs would be created and a prosperous future of climate-friendly mobility was on the horizon.

For weeks, the IG Metall works council representatives have been negotiating with VW managers behind closed doors about the extent to which shifts will be cut, and when and how many workers will see their jobs cut. The workforce and the workers concerned are to be presented with a fait accompli, so that it is too late for them to act against it.

Saxony’s state Minister of Economic Affairs, Martin Dulig (Social Democrat, SPD), unintentionally admitted that the workforce was being deceived by politics and trade unions. “It is a serious situation,” he said, adding he had been in contact with the works council and his Lower Saxon counterpart Olaf Lies (SPD) for several weeks.

These intrigues against the interests of the workforce must not be allowed to continue! Workers have the right to know what the future holds for them. All restructuring and downsizing plans must be disclosed immediately.

VW cites “the current market situation” as the reason for the cuts. High inflation and declining subsidies meant electric vehicle buyers were holding back. Since the state-funded subsidies have been sharply reduced, and in some cases completely abolished, new orders have been falling rapidly. Nearly 70 percent of newly registered electric cars were for commercial customers.

At the factory meeting in Zwickau, VW management sought to placate workers, claiming sales figures would rise again next year. Workers we spoke to do not share this optimism. Since even the smallest VW electric model, the ID.3, costs a good €40,000, it is unaffordable for most buyers.

Under these conditions, to achieve the profit increases recently decided by VW would require a veritable massacre of jobs, wages and working conditions. There is no way this can be achieved by further state subsidies alone, which VW is demanding. Such measures are rather meant to keep the workforce quiet.

In reality, the VW group, just like the other car companies, is using the conversion from combustion to electric vehicles as a welcome opportunity to drastically reduce costs and cut tens of thousands of jobs.

VW wants to earn €10 billion more in 2026 than this year, as brand boss Thomas Schäfer announced at the factory meeting in Wolfsburg in June. The performance programme of VW and IG Metall envisages a doubling to tripling of the current returns.

The workforce has not yet received any information on how many and which jobs are to fall victim to the cuts programme. However, the events of the last weeks show where the journey at VW is going. Jobs are not only being cut in Zwickau and Dresden. Production of electric cars ID.4 and ID.7 has been shut down at the Emden plant as well. Three hundred of 1,500 temporary workers will no longer be employed from August, and short-time work has become the norm.

In a number of locations, VW has imposed short-time work or stopped production altogether because a supplier plant could no longer deliver due to the floods in Slovenia. There is a shortage of gear rims everywhere, which are urgently needed for the drive train in combustion engines.

VW workers from Zwickau, as well as from Emden, were sent to Slovenia for support, a VW worker told the WSWS. He was told by his colleagues that the Emden workers received €135 a day, the Zwickau colleagues only €35 a day. This is another way of maintaining the division of the workforces even at the smallest possible level.

Although neither the workers of the Slovenian Volkswagen plant nor the workforces of the VW plants concerned bear the slightest responsibility for the delivery bottlenecks, they are the ones who have to pay bitterly for it through wage cuts or loss of wages. And here, too, the VW works council representatives are completely on the side of the management. A VW spokeswoman succinctly stated: “Due to the volatile situation, the company decides on the further course of action together with the works council.”

There is no plant that is not currently affected by changes. At VW’s Kassel plant in Baunatal, the assembly lines are partially shut down, affecting almost 3,500 workers. Shifts are also being cancelled in Osnabrück.

At VW’s Autoeuropa plant in Portugal, a nine-week production freeze has been imposed since last week. As a result, 300 temporary workers and those on fixed-term contracts have already lost their jobs: 100 of them directly from the VW plant and 200 from other companies. Thousands of workers in supplier companies in the industrial area in Palmelavon are now dependent on welfare benefits because the VW group is not paying them any wage compensation.

At VW’s main plant in Wolfsburg, where mainly Golf and Tiguan models are built, short-time work has been introduced until September 29. According to a VW spokesperson, all four assembly lines are affected. There are media reports suggesting that the Wolfsburg plant could even come to a complete standstill in October.

Last Wednesday, CEO Oliver Blume announced that the originally planned state-of-the-art dedicated factory for the Trinity series at the headquarters in Wolfsburg will not come about. The Trinity is to be built at VW’s existing main plant in Wolfsburg, but not for several years.

Using existing capacity at the Wolfsburg plant, which is currently being converted to parallel e-car production, is therefore by no means certain. The question also arises whether priority is being given to Wolfsburg at the expense of the Zwickau plant. Remarkably, despite low capacity utilisation at the Zwickau e-car plant, production of the Audi Q4 e-tron is to be extended to the Brussels plant and the VW ID.3 to Wolfsburg.

The question arises whether there are plans to close the plants in Zwickau or in Emden. Why are the works councils and IG Metall silent? What do they know, or have they already decided?

The IG Metall is significantly involved in the development and implementation of the concrete plans for the cuts at VW. The most important representatives of the major shareholders sit “in the presidium of the supervisory board, where all fundamental decisions on corporate strategy as well as on the plants and models of Europe’s largest car manufacturer are made,” is how Manager Magazin describes this powerful body. The body includes the chairman of the supervisory board Hans Dieter Pötsch, the two heads of the family clans with major VW shareholdings, Dr. Hans Michel Piëch and Dr. Wolfgang Porsche, as well as Lower Saxony’s Minister President Stephan Weil (SPD), since the state owns 20 percent of VW shares.

Four highly paid IG Metall bureaucrats also sit on this powerful presidium: IG Metall boss Jörg Hofmann; the chairwoman of the VW general and group works council, Daniela Cavallo; the chair of the general works council of AUDI, Peter Mosch; and Jens Rothe, who was chair of the works council of VW in Zwickau and the general works council in Saxony until February 2023—and is now head of human resources at VW in Dresden.

In the spring, when the Federal Court of Justice rejected the VW works council representatives’ demands to receive salaries at the level of managers, the long-serving head of the works council moved directly to VW management without further ado. As head of human resources at the glass factory in Dresden, he was to promote “the strategic reorientation of the site,” according to a VW press release.

In no other German company is the collaboration between management and trade union as sophisticated as at Volkswagen. With an army of full-time functionaries, IG Metall and the works councils ensure that the group’s decisions are implemented smoothly and that there is no resistance to them.

They are regularly “rewarded” for this. Bernd Osterloh, Cavallo’s predecessor, received up to €750,000 a year in his best years as a works council member. As personnel director at the truck subsidiary Tratonhe he is now enhancing his retirement pot as personnel director at the truck subsidiary Traton, thanks to an annual salary of €2 million.

This follows a definite method. Gunnar Kilian, ex-general secretary of the VW works council, is VW’s current head of human resources, with an annual salary of €6.8 million in 2022. All his predecessors in this post were previously long-time SPD and IG Metall bureaucrats.

Niger, Mali and Burkina Faso form alliance against French invasion threat

Athiyan Silva


The Sahel countries of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger signed a defense pact on September 16, establishing a military alliance called the Alliance of Sahel States (AES in French). The three heads of state—Assimi Goita of Mali, Ibrahim Traoré of Burkina Faso and Abdourahamane Tiani of Niger—met in the capital of Mali, Bamako, to sign the AES charter.

Soldiers from Burkina Faso before deployment to an exercise in Mali [Photo: DoD photo by Master Sgt. Jeremiah Erickson, U.S. Air Force/Released]

Named after a region shared by the three countries, the “Charter of Liptako-Gourma” pledges “to establish an architecture of collective defense and mutual assistance for the benefit of our populations. Any attack on the sovereignty and territorial integrity of one or more contracting parties shall be considered as an aggression against the other parties and shall give rise to a duty of assistance and relief of all parties, individually or collectively, including the use of armed force to restore and ensure security within the area covered by the Alliance.”

The alliance is aimed against the threat that nearby countries in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) could invade AES countries with French support. After a decade-long French war in Mali that led to bloodshed across the Sahel, mass protests and military coups forced out French-backed governments in the three countries, which are all former French colonies. French officials have retaliated by threatening to support a military intervention by ECOWAS states such as Nigeria, Ivory Coast, Ghana and Togo.

The AES treaty points to the growing danger that the NATO-Russia war in Ukraine could spread into large-scale warfare across Africa. Indeed, the AES states have all sought closer military ties and advice from Russia or Russian forces like the Wagner militia group after cutting off military ties to France. The threat of an AES-ECOWAS war is therefore rising in line with the broader tensions internationally between France and NATO, on the one hand, and Russia on the other.

The junta that seized power in Niger on July 26 set a deadline for the end of August for French troops, as well as the French ambassador, to leave the country. French President Emmanuel Macron, acting with unabashed neocolonial arrogance, has persistently refused to do this. Macron also refuses to recognize the Nigerien military junta that toppled President Mohamed Bazoum.

West Africa [Photo by PirateShip6 / CC BY-SA 4.0]

Macron has consistently insisted that the discredited French puppet President Bazoum and the presence of the French military in Niger are legitimate, despite mass protests by working people and youth against French and NATO troops in Niger and across the region.

Niger’s military junta has also accused France of sending troops and military equipment to the West African countries of Benin, Ivory Coast and Senegal to invade Niger and overthrow the military regimes in Niger, Burkina Faso and Mali.

“As part of war preparations for aggression against Niger, France continues to deploy its forces in several ECOWAS countries and is considering it in collaboration with this organization,” declared the spokesman of Niger's military regime, Colonel-Major Amadou Abdramane.

Rejecting these accusations, French President Emmanuel Macron issued a bellicose statement saying, “We do not recognize any legitimacy in the statements of the junta in Niger.”

The military juntas that rule the AES do not oppose imperialism or the NATO alliance, despite the explosive anger among workers and youth against imperialism. Amid mass protests, the juntas have selectively criticized France, the former colonial power implicated in much of the bloodshed in the region. But Washington has negotiated an agreement with Niger's military junta and resumed fighter and drone air operations in Niger from Air Base 201, located in the northern city of Agadez. This places US forces close to Niger’s strategic uranium mines.

The policy of the juntas in the AES countries, of criticizing France but cutting back-channel deals with NATO, aims to block the emergence of an independent movement in the working class and youth that would oppose both imperialism and its allies in the African bourgeoisie. This bankrupt and reactionary policy is in fact only dragging the Sahel and all of Africa deeper into the maelstrom of the growing global war.

Paris, Washington and the entire NATO alliance are increasingly angry at the limited diplomatic overtures to Moscow made by the juntas in the three AES states. As they wage war against Russia in Ukraine, the NATO imperialist powers are moving towards ever more drastic and bloody methods to crush Russian influence around the world.

Currently, the three Sahel countries are suspended from ECOWAS and face draconian sanctions imposed by wealthier ECOWAS states, led by Nigeria. Border closures and economic sanctions against these landlocked countries are driving millions into poverty. 

The three AES member states have resolved not to resort to threats or aggression against each other—specifically, not to blockade each other’s ports, roads, coasts or strategic infrastructure. “Our priority is the fight against terrorism in the three countries,” Mali's Defense Minister Abdoulaye Diop told reporters about the deal.

The Liptako-Gourma region, where the borders of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger meet, has been hit by Islamist terror attacks in recent years. It is well known in this region that NATO armed Islamist militias as its proxy forces in its 2011 war in Libya. Officials in the AES countries have accused France of secretly aiding Islamist groups in the Sahel, in that way creating a pretext to keep French troops in the region in the name of fighting Islamist terrorism.

The Malian military junta is continuing to criticize the Macron government along these lines. Last year, in a letter to the head of the United Nations Security Council, Mali's foreign affairs minister, Abdoulaye Diop, said Mali’s “airspace has been breached more than 50 times this year, mostly by French forces using drones, military helicopters and fighter jets. These flagrant violations of Malian airspace were used by France to collect information for terrorist groups operating in the Sahel and to drop arms and ammunition to them.’’

Abdoulaye Diop finally warned that Mali reserves the right to defend itself if this strategy continues, which undermines the stability and security of the country.