30 Oct 2023

Thousands of US pharmacy workers mount 3-day “pharmageddon” wildcat strike

Benjamin Mateus


Behind closed doors with the top brass of any chain pharmacy, their ultimate truth would sound something akin to, ‘Patient safety is the primary focus if and when it doesn’t affect our profitability.’”—Shane Jerominski, independent pharmacist and labor organizer

On Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday this week, October 30 through November 1, thousands of pharmacists at Walgreens, CVS, Rite Aid and other drugstores across the United States will take part in a wildcat strike action against the conglomerates that control the vast majority of US pharmacies.

Shane Jerominski, formerly a pharmacist at Walgreens and now an independent pharmacist and labor organizer, told the World Socialist Web Site that he and other pharmacists are planning the three-day walkout to protest unsafe working conditions that put pharmacists, techs and their patients across the country at risk on a daily basis.

Jerominski, a licensed pharmacist with more than 15 years of experience in the field who is leading the walkout, has dubbed the event “pharmageddon.” This will be the third such work action by non-unionized pharmacy laborers on the heels of the Kansas City CVS walkouts in mid-September and the Walgreens three-day walkout in early October. Jerominski said he expects about 4,500 employees to take part and possibly tens of thousands more if they did not fear retaliation by their employers.

The pharmacy workers are using the social media platforms Reddit and Facebook to organize and conduct their labor action, recently posting that “Organization for pharmageddon is underway.” In their call to action, they cited the lessons learned from the October Walgreens walkout, dubbed “Operation Spotlight,” writing:

The public and our patients support us. The media reports were huge and were followed by millions. The overwhelming majority of comments were positive. Reddit trolls, corporate shills, and Walgreens lied. The support center number for participating stores [in Operation Spotlight] was over 600. Due to Walgreens’ quick crackdown on team members talking to the media and our lack of rallying, Walgreens got away with some of those lies.

The organizers are planning to hold rallies outside select locations across the country to put a visible face to their strike action and demands. In their statement, they note that “Walgreens has cut raises. The new 4 C’s rating scale makes it nearly impossible to get good reviews. Walgreens says bonuses aren’t looking good. And at the same time, they announced they won’t be changing the dividend strategy.”

Jerominski made the media rounds over the weekend, speaking with Bloomberg and CNBC and explaining that many of the pharmacy workers have told him they are reaching their breaking point. Understaffing has become a severely chronic issue for the pharmacists, while insufficient pay and cutbacks in hours for pharmacy techs means the growing workload is being carried out by fewer staff working shorter hours.

Jerominski noted that the Kansas City CVS walkouts were effective because they were able to provide the pharmacy technicians “strike pay.” The organization he runs had raised about $25,000 with the aim of forming a union for pharmacists, the vast majority of whom are not unionized. When he heard about the Kansas City strike action, he offered a “living wage” assistance of $20 per hour for an eight-hour workday, far more than the workers’ daily earnings of $16.60 an hour at a reduced six-hour day. They were able to provide wage assistance to 175 technicians across the country. Once workers caught wind of this, Jerominski said, “donations began to pour in.” Since that time, they have raised over $60,000.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the chain pharmacy retailers have become characterized as “fast-food” vaccination centers by the pharmacists, as they now prioritize immunization due to their high profitability of $70 for each flu shot administered.

The vast increase in vaccination rates at the pharmacy chains places greater demands on the pharmacists’ limited time, as they are now required to ensure that labels are printed correctly, drug interaction alerts are checked and insurance and co-pays are addressed. With the cutback in the number of hours pharmacy techs work, the entire smooth operation of the pharmacy rests on the shoulders of the pharmacists, whose license is on the line if any medication errors lead to a serious health consequence.

Jerominski said that turnover rates are high for pharmacy technicians, who on average are earning far less than $20 per hour and work under incredible amounts of stress. Meanwhile, pharmacists, who also work on an hourly wage, oftentimes come in several hours before their shift and stay late to ensure prescriptions are filled out and ready for the patients. They often have to skip lunch to finish their ever-growing mountain of work, leading to significant mental and physical health consequences that include even deaths among pharmacists.

Jerominski explained that internal documentation has revealed that many pharmacies are backed up on their work logs, stretching the limits of the 14-day window they have to ensure prescriptions are ready for patients. A pharmacist working solo may at times have to fill out 3,000–4,000 prescriptions per week to ensure corporate meets its requirements. This translates to about 10 to 15 seconds of time to fill a prescription, said Jerominski, including oftentimes having to address prompts that the computer flags on possible drug interactions or health concerns.

In other words, pharmacists, out of an obligation to their patients and fear of losing their license if they make a mistake, are providing corporate pharmacies their labor for free to get through the backlog of prescriptions needed to get to patients depending on them for their well-being.

Jerominski explained that most pharmacists are not asking for higher pay, but rather for more support staff to ensure the smooth operation of their pharmacies. Despite claims by the corporations that they do not have funding to support such staffing, acquisition costs and prices they charge on medications clearly demonstrate there are ample funds available to provide an adequate staff with living wages.

Jerominski highlighted the nasal spray fluticasone, which used to alleviate nonallergic runny stuffy noses. Although the cost runs less than $2.50 per bottle to acquire, CVS and Walgreens retail it at $57, or a markup of more than 20-fold.

As for medication errors, Jerominski said that if the pharmacy discovers it, they are under no obligation to report it to the Board of Pharmacy. However, if a patient reports it, the major consequence befalls the pharmacist, who may be placed on probation and lose their job, while the corporation would only incur a minuscule fine.

In an attempt to short-circuit the grievances raised by pharmacy workers for the last several years that have culminated in the current courageous strike actions, Michael Hogue, the executive vice president and chief executive officer of the American Pharmacists Association (APhA), published an open letter on September 8, 2023, in which he wrote:

Pharmacists, let’s also speak candidly about the undercurrent issue that is at play here. Understaffing of pharmacies is a major problem. Negative stories in the media don’t help the issue—it becomes harder to recruit the best and brightest into our great profession. Truthfully, the work environment in most community pharmacies is not ideal or supportive of optimal patient care.

APhA is fully aware of this, and we are working very hard on these issues. Our board of trustees are practicing pharmacists across the span of health care settings, including community and hospital pharmacy, and including frontline pharmacists.

This problem is not new, and the solutions are complex. We know that it feels to many of you like nothing is happening, but something is happening. APhA is driving change. APhA’s workplace and well-being issues task force has issued recommendations and resources for the profession. Commitments have been made by large employers to make changes, and while change can’t happen fast enough, incremental change is happening.

In response, Jerominski replied,

[Mr. Hogue,] the examples you cited like shortened shifts are nothing more than corporate cost cutting measures. When a chain pharmacy makes the decision to decrease hours of operation this doesn’t magically correlate to a lower prescription volume. If anything, this has the potential to further burden a staff already struggling to keep pace with demand. As for the improved compensation for pharmacists and technicians this was a consequence of the abysmal working conditions, not the efforts of APhA. Many markets experienced frequent store closures. Not due to a shortage of available pharmacists but merely the lack of pharmacists willing to work in an environment so unsafe it would put their patients and license at risk.

Jerominski noted that the current reimbursement structure and costs of pharmaceuticals, tightly controlled by Pharmacy Benefit Manager (PBM) systems, have contributed to both the exorbitant prices paid on prescriptions and the current state of working conditions for pharmacists.

Despite claims by PBMs that out-of-pocket expenses on prescription drugs have been falling for decades, pharmacy advocate groups have found that between 1987 and 2019, patient out-of-pocket costs have increased 222 percent (from $16.7 billion to $53.7 billion). Prescription drug benefit costs have risen 1,279 percent in the same period from $26.8 billion to $369.7 billion. Meanwhile, price inflation had grown only 126 percent in the 30 years.

As the report explains, PBMs set reimbursements to pharmacies at rates far below actual costs of medications, leaving the pharmacies “on the hook to pay the differences and later appeal their losses.” However, these regulatory bodies also have the power to deny these appeals or take months to reimburse pharmacies for the claims.

According to the report, 630 rural communities lost all local pharmacy services by March 2018 and another 302 fell to having just one pharmacy open. Meanwhile, independently owned pharmacies are at higher risk of closing due to preferentially being denied reimbursements. In short, this is leading to a form of acquisition and merger of these resources in which corporate pharmacies who also own these PBMs can acquire the lion’s share of the distribution networks that include how these drugs are priced.

Jerominski concluded his letter to Hogue by writing:

The current PBM structure is decimating independent pharmacies to the point of extinction. Fines and predatory audits that unfairly target small businesses are serving their intended purpose. Chain pharmacies will slowly absorb that market share, then when they’ve done so turn attention towards fixing the issue of fair reimbursement.

He added,

Let’s be honest though, if chain pharmacies were suddenly more profitable as a result of better reinsurance reimbursement their first priority wouldn’t be to make stores safer. The financial boon that was COVID for both Walgreens and CVS sent them on a merger and acquisition spree, not a billion dollar investment in improved safety standards.

Israeli military announces plans to attack hospitals and schools

Andre Damon



Bodies of Palestinians killed by an Israeli airstrike at the Ahli Arab hospital are gathered in the front yard of the al-Shifa hospital, in Gaza City, central Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Oct. 17, 2023. [AP Photo/Abed Khaled]

On Saturday, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) delivered a statement announcing its intent to attack “schools, mosques, and hospitals” in Gaza, amid a systematic campaign of genocide and ethnic cleansing that has already killed 8,000 Palestinians.

The statement, addressed to the population of Gaza, said, “Hamas puts your life in danger by placing weapons and forces within civilians’ areas in Gaza, including schools, mosques, and hospitals. The impending IDF operation is set to neutralize this threat with precision and intensity.”

On October 17, the IDF bombed the Al-Ahli Arab Hospital, a Christian hospital in Gaza, killing nearly 500 people. The Israeli government and US President Joe Biden falsely claimed that the hospital was destroyed by a missile launched by Hamas or another resistance group Islamic Jihad, and attempted to substantiate this lie with statements and videos that completely contradicted each other.

But the statement over the weekend make unequivocally clear that targeting hospitals, schools and other places of refuge is the explicit policy of the Israeli government as part of its ethnic cleansing of Gaza. In its statement, the IDF claimed that moving the population of Gaza to the south is a “temporary measure” and that they would be allowed to return to their homes. “This is a temporary measure. Moving back to northern Gaza will be possible once the intense hostilities end.”

It is becoming increasingly clear, however, that the expulsion of the population of northern Gaza is part of an ethnic cleansing campaign by Israel and that the population will never be allowed to return. On Sunday, the Hebrew-language publication Mekomit published a leaked document produced by Israel’s Ministry of Intelligence recommending the forcible and permanent displacement of the population of Gaza out of Palestine and into Egypt’s Sinai Desert.

Mekomit reported, “the document recommends the forced transfer of the population of the Gaza Strip to Sinai permanently, and calls for the international community to be harnessed for the move. The document also suggests promoting a dedicated campaign for the residents of Gaza that will ‘motivate them to agree to the plan.’”

Mekomit wrote that the document “recommends that Israel act ‘to evacuate the Gazan population to Sinai’ during the war: to establish tent cities and new cities in northern Sinai, which will accommodate the deported population, and then ‘to create a sterile zone of several kilometers inside Egypt and not allow the population to return to activity or residence near the Israeli border.’”

On Saturday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gave a prime-time television address in which he declared, “You must remember what Amalek has done to you, says our Holy Bible.”

Netanyahu was referencing the passage from 1 Samuel, which declares, “Now go and smite Amalek, and utterly destroy all that they have, and spare them not; but slay both man and woman, infant and suckling, ox and sheep, camel and ass.”

In his speech Saturday, Netanyahu called the current conflict Israel’s “second war of independence.” He declared the “second stage of the war,” asserting it would be “long and difficult.”

Netanyahu’s speech was accompanied by the announcement by the IDF that it would expand its ground incursions into Gaza, declaring that the Israeli military is “gradually increasing its ground activity in the Gaza Strip and the scale of its forces.”

On Sunday, Gaza’s health ministry said that the death toll among Palestinians had crossed 8,000. Israel’s bombardment over the weekend was described as the most intense of the entire war, and was accompanied by a systematic blackout of all communications inside of Gaza on Friday, which were only partially restored on Sunday.

In a statement on Twitter, the international charity Save the Children wrote that the “3,195 children killed in #Gaza in just three weeks has surpassed the annual number of children killed across the world’s conflict zones since 2019.” The organization called for “an immediate ceasefire.”

“Three weeks of violence have ripped children from families and torn through their lives at an unimaginable rate,” said Jason Lee, Save the Children country director in occupied Palestinian territory. The numbers are harrowing and with violence not only continuing but expanding in Gaza right now, many more children remain at grave risk.”

On Sunday, the Palestine Red Crescent Society reported that it received “serious threats” from the Israeli military and were told to “immediately evacuate” the al-Quds Hospital in Gaza as it is “going to be bombed.” The hospital said in a statement that, “since this morning, there have been bombs dropping 50 meters from the hospital.”

Responding to the statement by the Red Crescent, World Health Organization Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus wrote on Twitter, “The @PalestineRCS report of evacuation threats to Al-Quds hospital in Gaza is deeply concerning. We reiterate—it’s impossible to evacuate hospitals full of patients without endangering their lives. Under International Humanitarian Law, healthcare must always be protected.”

US officials have made clear that they would support Israel’s actions no matter what atrocities it is carrying out. “We’re not drawing red lines for Israel,” said White House National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby on Friday.

In a phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Sunday, US President Joe Biden declared that Israel has “every right and responsibility to defend its citizens from terrorism.”

28 Oct 2023

GM workers in Brazil strike against mass layoffs

Eduardo Parati


On Saturday, GM announced the summary firing of 1,200 workers in Brazil at three plants in the state of São Paulo in the cities of Mogi das Cruzes, São Caetano do Sul and São José dos Campos. It took place after the majority of workers rejected the proposal for voluntary dismissal programs (PDV) at the three plants.

Striking GM workers gathered at a mass assembly São Caetano plant. [Photo: Sindicato dos Metalúrgicos de São Caetano]

To the surprise of the company and the unions, the announcement was met with explosive opposition. Assemblies held on Sunday and Monday approved indefinite strikes, immediately putting 11,500 workers in struggle against GM’s measures.

On Monday, the union bureaucrats published a joint letter pointing out the obvious contradiction between the auto giant’s financial prosperity and the massive job cuts, stating: “All the cuts are unjustifiable. The automaker claims a drop in sales, but on the contrary, it recorded an 18.18 per cent increase in Brazilian sales between April and June this year... In addition, it made a net profit of 2.57 billion dollars (R$12.94 billion) in the second quarter of this year, an increase of 51.6 percent year-on-year.”

A month ago, the company sent letters to workers in the São Paulo plants proposing to “discuss” their “voluntary dismissal.” Such letters were also sent to workers at GM’s Gravataí plant in the southern state of Rio Grande do Sul, with management stating that workers would suffer cuts from that moment on. However, even faced with the prospect of a widespread attack, the unions did not organize any kind of response.

On September 19, after the PDV proposed by GM suffered a mass rejection, news emerged that the company had started laying off employees at the São Caetano plant. However, the president of the São Caetano do Sul Metalworkers Union, which is affiliated to the Força Sindical union federation, Aparecido da Silva, known as Cidão, played down the threats, saying: “So far [only employees who had already retired] have been fired.”

The fact that workers in São Paulo went on strike in direct opposition to their own layoffs has forced the union to adopt a false rhetoric in favor of keeping their jobs while waiting for more favorable conditions to impose the layoffs demanded by GM. However, due to their widespread discrediting among workers, the unions’ ability to deflect the huge opposition seems to be increasingly in check.

In their joint letter, right after the union bureaucrats lament that “GM has failed to comply with layoff agreements signed with the unions,” they state that “the three unions are seeking negotiations with the automaker to reverse the layoffs and guarantee jobs.” In other words, even though GM’s management has clearly shown its indifference to the agreements signed with the unions, the bureaucracy has no other response than to repeat this maneuver, which is widely distrusted by the workers.

The reality is that the announcement of the layoffs directly exposes the union bureaucracy itself, which in recent years has promoted the claim that it would be enough to submit to the “agreements” between the union and the company to guarantee “job stability.”

In March 2020, at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, GM announced 15,000 layoffs that would cut wages and benefits. The union in São Caetano, under the leadership of Cidão, immediately worked to force the layoffs through an “online vote” that never took place. The layoffs did not prevent further cuts in the negotiation of the collective bargaining agreement in 2021, with the union abandoning the workers’ 13-day strike in deference to a court decision, stating that “Obviously the union respects the position of the assembly, but the court decision must be followed.” At the beginning of 2022, even as Ford closed its plants and left the country, violating all the agreements made with the union, the bureaucracy forced the workers to remain on the production line until the last day.

A decisive role in the suppression of auto workers has also been played by the São José dos Campos Metalworkers Union, which is affiliated to the CSP-Conlutas union federation, controlled by the Morenoite Unified Socialist Workers Party (PSTU). While presenting itself as an “opposition” union, it oversaw the dismissal of 12,000 workers between 2010 and 2020.

Today, amid the biggest inflationary crisis in decades and after years of job and wage cuts in the automotive plants, the explosive opposition of GM workers in Brazil against yet another round of layoffs threatens to break the unions’ straitjacket, also putting the upper echelons of the bureaucracy of the trade union federations and the government of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Workers Party – PT) on alert.

This week, the major union federations produced a joint note repeating the points of the local unions’ letter, and the president of the ABC Metalworkers Union, affiliated to the CUT, the PT-controlled union federation, Moisés Selérges, visited the São Caetano plant to give a speech in “solidarity.” Selérges’ history of betrayal and his visit to striking workers should be taken as an indication of the betrayal being prepared in the plants with the help of the PT’s union apparatus.

Selérges assisted Mercedes-Benz in imposing a PDV at the São Bernardo do Campo plant exactly one year ago. During the strike, which was sparked by huge opposition to the cuts, the union authorities blamed the Chinese workers, essentially adopting the same fascistic rhetoric as then-president Jair Bolsonaro, and sought to cultivate illusions that a new Lula government would mean a new period of improved living conditions and increased employment. Meanwhile, they sought to pit outsourced workers against permanent ones, insinuating that the mass layoffs were an opportunity for new temporary contracts.

The unions also appealed to the Lula government and to the governor of São Paulo and former minister in the Bolsonaro government, Tarcísio de Freitas. In their letter, they called for “immediate intervention by the Federal Government, the Ministry of Labor, the Government of the State of São Paulo and the Labor Attorney’s Office.”

Biobot Analytics files protest against CDC issuing wastewater surveillance contract to Verily

Benjamin Mateus


On Friday, Biobot Analytics resumed publishing data on levels of SARS-CoV-2 in US wastewater. In mid-September, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) abruptly ended their long-standing contract with the Massachusetts-based company, which had been instrumental in transforming the national public health agency’s national wastewater surveillance program during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The contract bid went to Verily, a life sciences research company owned by Alphabet, also the parent company of Google. Verily utilizes the Stanford University-based WastewaterSCAN in partnership with Emory University, whose national expansion was funded by the Sergey Brin Family Foundation and Bloomberg philanthropies. Multi-billionaire Sergey Brin is a co-founder of Google and has a significant financial interest in seeing his company flourish.

According to Politico, Verily’s bid for the contract was accepted outright by the CDC, which will pay the company $38 million over five years. Biobot’s most recent contract with the CDC was for $31 million over less than 18 months, or nearly three-fold higher. The funding provided through various foundations means Verily could easily underbid any other contract proposition. An epidemiologist familiar with these proceedings who asked not to be named remarked, “The CDC must be dumping something for a bid that low.”

Although CDC Director Mandy Cohen has declined to comment on why the bid went to Verily, given the potential financialization of wastewater data, it is clear that Verily was more than eager to obtain the contract and has the monetary resources to weather a deficit. The science of wastewater monitoring has advanced considerably during the pandemic, and wastewater can now be used to track not just infectious viral agents in real time, but almost any molecule flushed into the sewers across the country.

The most important issue at play is the financialization of public health in the US through these private-public enterprises, whereby critical information disease outbreak, the opioid crisis, and the population’s general health indices can be accumulated and monopolized by giant conglomerates like Alphabet. This has significant implications for insurance companies, federal agencies, surveillance of the population, and more.

What has clearly emerged from handing the keys to Verily is the sudden deleterious impact in being able to track SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. With contact tracing and data reporting essentially abandoned by the CDC and home-self testing on decline, the data which were being published by Biobot provided the only clear perspective on the state of the pandemic over the past summer. Since the beginning of October, the country was suddenly flying blind as to the real situation.

David Larsen, chair of the public health department at Syracuse University and wastewater researcher, told the World Socialist Web Site that there are potential ethical issues at play if Verily has unlimited and unsupervised access to wastewater data and tests they decide to run. Clearly, the large underbidding begs the question, what is Verily getting in turn? However, the terms of the contract have not been disclosed.

Larsen also explained that wastewater data from Biobot have been well correlated to clinical rates of COVID-19 infection in the US. Shifting to using WastewaterSCAN data also means “loss of historical comparability.” The implication here is that case estimates will be harder to discern if the historic data is not folded into Verily’s analysis. Over time, these will stabilize but as the country enters the winter wave of infections, this could be problematic in providing the public with a clear assessment. In a statement to Politico, Larsen noted, “It’s not ideal to change methods.”

However, Biobot has filed a protest stalling the transition for the management of the national wastewater surveillance by Verily. Neither they nor the CDC has issued a statement on the ongoing legal proceedings, but as another epidemiologist told Politico, “The existing gap in wastewater data will continue for possibly several months as we head into flu season and another COVID surge.”

What emerges from the resumption of Biobot’s analysis on Friday is that the decline in the most recent COVID wave that began in late-June has stalled across every region of the country at high levels of viral transmission. In early October, scientist Mike Hoerger, the founding director of Louisiana’s HealthPsych, estimated that by the end of October transmission rates would be upwards of 745,000 cases per day.

In conjunction with these estimates of viral transmission, COVID-19 hospitalization rates in the US have also stalled at more than 16,000 admissions per week for the week ending October 21. Infectious disease modelers and experts have been forecasting that cases will begin turning upwards in November in conjunction with colder weather and the holiday travel season.

COVID-19 deaths, a lagging indicator, reached 1,339 for the week ending September 30. In other words, around 190 people are dying each day from COVID-19, predominately the elderly and immunocompromised, a trend that will likely hold throughout October once data begin to be compiled and published.

Experts are concerned about the upcoming fall-winter surge, driven by new variants that continue to evolve at a rapid clip.

Currently, the Omicron HV.1 subvariant accounts for more than 25 percent of the various Omicron progenies circulating across the US. It is a mutation of the EG.5 (Eris) lineage of the XBB.1.5 family. However, another subvariant called JN.1, whose phylogenetic parent is BA.2.86 (Pirola), has caught the attention of variant trackers. It was first identified in Luxembourg in late August and then in England, France and the US.

Compared to the XBB.1.5 and HV.1 strains, JN.1 contains 41 additional unique mutations, and most are located on its spike protein. This will likely give it higher infectivity and immune evasion. Investigators believe that it is possibly a recombinant of BA.2 and later XBB lineages, according to scientist William A. Haseltine writing for Forbes.

Haseltine notes, “What catches my attention about JN.1 is not the reemerging mutations from earlier variants but the novelty of select mutations in the spike protein. Several of these mutations have only been sequenced a few thousand times from a database of over 16 million samples throughout the pandemic. None, however, as unique to JN.1.”

Alarmingly, Haseltine also notes there are several mutations outside of the virus’ spike region that can significantly affect its “pathogenicity and spread.” In particular, he underscores six mutations to NSP3, an active protein in the virus involved in RNA binding and other processes. Though the exact nature of the mutation needs to be discerned, he believes these may enhance efficiency mechanisms that are leading to a “more functional and pathogenetic virus.”

Haseltine concludes:

There are several explanations for the mutations within and particularly outside of the spike protein. The first is adaptation to more aggressive infectivity. The second is to escape from neutralizing antibodies. The third is adaptation to more efficient post-infection pathogenesis, including replication aided by mutations in the N protein. The fourth is immune evasion from T cell recognition.

As winter begins across the Northern hemisphere, federal officials have reported only about 7 percent of US adults and 2 percent of children have received the latest iteration of the COVID booster shots. These have much to do with the commercialization of the life-saving treatments and persistent attempts by government officials to downplay the ongoing threat posed by COVID-19.

ECB keeps rates on hold as euro area moves towards recession

Nick Beams


The European Central Bank (ECB) decided at its meeting on Thursday not to lift interest rates after 10 consecutive rises. But the decision did not reflect an improvement in the European economy as official inflation levels start to come down.

Rather, the main motivation appears to have been a worsening of the euro zone economy which is on the brink of a recession led down by its main component, Germany.

Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank [Photo: Bernd Hartung/European Central Bank]

In her opening remarks to the press conference on the decision, ECB president Christine Lagarde, after noting that inflation was still expected to stay “too high for too long,” provided an overview of the worsening outlook.

“The euro area economy remains weak,” she began. “Recent information suggests that manufacturing output has continued to fall. Subdued foreign demand and tighter financing conditions are increasingly weighing on investment and consumer spending. The services sector is also weakening further. This is because weaker industrial activity is spilling over to other sectors, the impetus from reopening effects is fading and the impact of higher interest rates is broadening. The economy is likely to remain weak for the rest of the year.”

The best prospect she could advance was that as inflation came down further, household incomes recovered, and exports picked up, “the economy should strengthen over the coming years.”

The latest data confirm the downbeat ECB outlook. While inflation fell in September to 4.3 percent from 5.2 percent in August, higher borrowing costs and energy prices, combined with a slowdown in international trade, are having a major impact.

Data from S&P Global showed that activity in manufacturing and services was down to its lowest level since November 2020 at the worst point of the pandemic. Excluding the pandemic months, the fall in activity was the sharpest since 2013.

The downturn is being led by Germany. Business surveys showed that private sector economic activity contracted for the fourth straight month in a row in October. This is amid what a Guardian report described as a “collapse in manufacturing output, suggesting the country may have already entered a recession.”

The industrial sector also suffered “a new shock on Thursday, when shares in the engineering firm Siemen Energy plunged as it sought a bailout from the German government, after a string of technical problems and higher costs such as at its wind turbine arm.

According to the Bundesbank, the country’s central bank, the economy is likely to have shrunk in the third quarter this year, following zero growth in the second quarter and a 0.1 percent contraction in the first.

The ECB does not expect conditions in the euro zone to improve and they could get worse.

“The risks to economic growth remain tilted to the downside,” Lagarde said. “Growth could be lower if the effects of monetary policy turn out to be stronger than expected. A weaker world economy would also weigh on growth.”

The data is also emerging on the effect of monetary policy since the ECB began lifting rates 15 months ago as Lagarde reported.

Funding has become more expensive for banks, with interest rates for business loans and mortgages rising.

“Higher borrowing rates, with the associated cuts in investment plans and house purchases, led to a further drop in credit demand in the third quarter… Moreover, credit standards for loans to firms and households tightened further. Banks are becoming more concerned about the risks faced by their customers and are less willing to take on risks themselves,” she said.

Expanding on this point, she said banks were saying they were more attentive to risk and also that corporates were “putting a brake on their investment because of the level of interest rates.”

Despite the worsening economic situation, Largarde insisted the pause in rate increases was not the prelude to cuts.

In response to a question as to when and at what level would the ECB begin to cut rates, she said the issue was “not discussed at all, and the debate would be absolutely premature.” She then emphasised the point, adding “even having a discussion on a cut is totally premature.”

Noting that Lagarde mentioned several times that the “economy basically stagnates,” one questioner asked whether there was a risk that the ECB might have gone too far in its rate increases.

This was brushed aside as Lagarde insisted the “mission” was to return inflation to 2 percent.

Besides the impact of higher ECB rates on the economy there are also concerns about the effect of the bond market selloff. This has seen the yield rise on the US 10-year Treasury, in many ways the benchmark for the global financial system. This approached 5 percent, for the first time since before the global financial crisis of 2008.

Yields at this level were not a problem in the past, in fact they were quite normal. However, more than a decade of ultra-low interest rates and the trillion of dollars pumped into the financial system by central banks have transformed the situation.

The mountain of debt and speculative deals built up during the period of so-called quantitative easing are now susceptible to sudden shifts in the bond market and could become a risk for financial stability.

Asked about this, Lagarde said that the movement in bond yields was outside the euro area and was not directly related to its fundamentals. She then handed the question over to ECB vice-president Luis de Guidos.

He indicated that it was an issue of concern.

“The increase in yields is something we are looking at very carefully. Why? Because the main risk that we have identified in the past, and continue to identify in the near future, is very high valuation in different kinds of assets.”

In the real estate market, he continued, an increase in yields “can give rise to an important correction.”

“So this is something that we are taking into consideration very, very closely and simultaneously all the factors such as the higher yields can have an impact on the non-bank financial intermediaries.”

This is a reference to hedge funds and other financial institutions outside the banking system which play an increasingly important role.

There was a “concentration of potential vulnerabilities” in term of liquidity risks and mismatches that can give rise to problems in this area “that is not totally isolated from rest of the financial system” because it has “important liaisons with the banks.”

US attacks Iranian “proxies” in Syria, as Israel intensifies assault on Gaza

Andre Damon



Two Air Force F-16 Fighting Falcons return from a mission during Agile Spartan in the US Central Command area of responsibility, March 6, 2023. [Photo: Air Force Tech. Sgt. Daniel Asselta ]

Hours before Israel initiated a communications blackout of Gaza and intensified its massive assault on Palestinians, the United States dropped dozens of bombs on what it called Iranian “proxy” forces in Syria as part of its escalating standoff with Tehran.

The coordinated military escalations make clear that the military conflict is rapidly spreading into a war throughout the Middle East.

“Today, at President Biden’s direction, US military forces conducted self-defense strikes on two facilities in eastern Syria used by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and affiliated groups,” said US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin in a statement late Thursday night.

He continued, “Iran wants to hide its hand and deny its role in these attacks against our forces. We will not let them. If attacks by Iran’s proxies against US forces continue, we will not hesitate to take further necessary measures to protect our people.”

Two US Air Force F-16 fighters and Reaper drones dropped more than 30 bombs on what US officials said was a weapons storage facility and an ammunition storage facility near Abu Kamal, Syria.

Austin absurdly claimed that the strikes against pro-Iranian forces are “separate and distinct from the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas.” This is a bald-faced lie. The United States clearly sees Israel’s assault on Gaza as one component of a massive military operation now underway throughout the Middle East.

US officials have made clear that they would support Israel’s actions no matter what atrocities it is carrying out. “We’re not drawing red lines for Israel,” said White House National Security spokesperson John Kirby.

“The US sent a message tonight,” Mick Mulroy, a former defense official, told the New York Times. “We will directly respond against Iran, and specifically the IRGC, if they continue to attack our military positions and personnel in Iraq and Syria.”

On Thursday, the White House sent Congress a war powers notice regarding the strikes. “On the night of October 26, 2023, United States forces conducted targeted strikes against facilities in eastern Syria,” Biden wrote. “The precision strikes targeted facilities used by the IRGC and IRGC-affiliated groups for command and control, munitions storage, and other purposes.”

Biden continued, “The United States stands ready to take further action, as necessary and appropriate, to address further threats or attacks.”

Thursday night’s strikes followed Biden’s threat to Iran on Wednesday “that if they continue to move against those troops, we will respond.”

In response to Thursday night’s bombing, sections of the US political establishment demanded an even more aggressive escalation. “At least President Biden finally responded after more than a dozen provocations, but the Administration still isn’t grappling with the root cause of the region’s violence: Iran,” wrote the Wall Street Journal in an editorial.

“Pinprick bombing of weapons and ammo lockers aren’t proportionate to the enemy attacks,” the Journal continued. “Iran’s proxies have lobbed rockets or drones at U.S. positions at least 19 times since Oct. 17.”

The Journal wrote, “But a better example for restoring deterrence is former Defense Secretary Jim Mattis in Syria in 2018 when Russia’s Wagner Group and Bashar al-Assad fighters attacked a U.S. military position. As Gen. Mattis told Congress, he directed the attacking force ‘to be annihilated.’ And it was.”

The US is surging ships, troops and aircraft to the Middle East. The US has dispatched the USS Gerald R. Ford, its most advanced aircraft carrier, to the Mediterranean Sea, with its complement of 75 aircraft and up to five supporting warships. The USS Dwight D. Eisenhower and its carrier battle group is on its way to the Gulf of Mexico.

American imperialism has 30,000 military personnel stationed in the Middle East, which are being supplemented by 2,000 Marines aboard the vessels steaming toward the Middle East. In addition, the Pentagon said Thursday that 900 troops have either deployed or are getting ready to leave for the Middle East.

The US has also sent dozens of aircraft and has flown nearly 100 heavy-lift aircraft missions to the region.

Commenting on the situation, The Economist wrote, “It is fairly easy ... to envision scenarios in which American offensive action goes further to respond to attacks on allies rather than on Americans.”

It commented, “It is a measure of Joe Biden’s concern for how quickly things could spiral out of control that the White House has demanded a ‘contingency’ plan for evacuating up to 600,000 American citizens living in Israel and Lebanon. … It turns out there may yet be another chapter in the forever wars.”

The United Nations General Assembly voted Friday in favor of an “immediate, durable and sustained humanitarian truce leading to a cessation of hostilities” in Gaza. The motion, which passed by a vote of 120 to 14, took place over the “no” vote of Israel and the United States. An amendment introduced by Canada that would have directly condemned Hamas’s incursion into Israel did not receive a two-thirds majority and failed.

The US escalation throughout the Middle East takes place as Israel intensifies its genocide in Gaza. On Thursday, Gaza’s Health Ministry published the names of more than 6,747 people who had been killed by Israeli bombings. The report noted that between October 7 and 26, 7,028 Palestinians were killed, and that another 281 bodies had not yet been identified.

The publication follows a statement by Biden that he has “no confidence” in the death toll published by Palestinian authorities.

UN officials likewise substantiated the death toll cited by Palestinian authorities. “We continue to include their data in our reporting, and it is clearly sourced,” the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) told Reuters in a statement.

Dr. Mike Ryan, Executive Director World Health Organization’s Health Emergencies Programme, said the numbers are “generally consistent or within logic for the scale of killings one would expect, given the intensity of bombardment in such a densely populated area.”

In his remarks Wednesday stating that Palestinian authorities were inflating the US death toll, Biden asserted that the deaths of civilians is the “price of war.”

27 Oct 2023

Harambe Entrepreneur Alliance 2024/2025

Application Deadline: 

  • Early Admission Deadline: September 30, 2023
  • Regular Admission Deadline: October 31, 2023

Offered annually? Yes

Eligible Countries: African countries

About the Award: Harambe Entrepreneur Alliance is a platform for highly educated young African social, business and political entrepreneurs, attending leading universities in Africa, Asia, Europe and North America. Our mission is to capture, inform and engage Africa’s global intellectual capital in the development of Africa.

Harambeans are African innovators who have pledged “to work together as one” to unlock the potential of Africa. Over the last decade, Harambeans has spawned a series of tech-enabled unicorns such as Andela, Flutterwave, and Yoco, which have collectively generated over 3000 jobs, raised over $700m from Google Ventures, CRE Ventures, and Accel.

African innovators interested in becoming Harambeans must submit an application to the Alliance and be interviewed by Harambeans. Candidates who make it past the interview stage are given the designation of Harambean Affiliates and invited to attend the Harambeans Bretton Woods Symposium, where they will be officially recognized as Associates of the Harambe Entrepreneur Alliance.

To become Harambeans eligible candidates must be of African birth or origin; currently enrolled in a college or university or be a recent graduate, and be at the early idea stage or advanced stages of a social or business venture focused on or related to Africa.

To gain access to specific opportunities within the Alliance i.e. Fellowships, Prosperity Fund, Scholarships please refer to the specific eligibility criteria for the opportunity.

Type: MBA

Eligibility: 

  • Born in Africa and current passport holders of an African country
  • Exhibited entrepreneurial leadership in their field of interest
  • Two or more years of work experience
  • Hold a bachelor’s degree or its equivalent
  • Candidates must arrange to have official university transcripts, letters of recommendation and standardized test scores arrive at Yale School of Management by the appropriate application deadline

Selection: With over 3000 applications per year and 30 spots in each class, our competitive selection process enables us to assemble an exceptional cadre of African innovators.

Number of Awardees: Not specified

Value of Scholarship: 

  • Fellowships and Grants from our partners
  • Scholarships (Fletcher / Oxford Skoll / Yale / Oxford Pershing Square)
  • Mentors
  • Venture Capital
  • The Harambean Network

HBWS participants must cover the following costs:

  • Flights to and from the symposium
  • $50 Registration Fee: This fee will cover accommodation and meals for the 3 nights and 4 days of the HBWS XIV.

How to Apply: 

  • Candidates must complete online HEA Application Apply Now

Visit Scholarship Webpage for details