Asanga Abeyagoonasekera
The final month of the year 2014 began with the news of Egyptian
dictator Hosni Mubarak. He was found not guilty of the massacre of
civilians who protested for his overthrow in the 2011 Arab Spring.
Society’s expectation for a total change in political culture was proven
difficult to materialise due to numerous issues, of which Egypt is an
example.
In the political landscape of Sri Lanka, as previously predicted, the
presidential race begins on the road to the polls with a decision to be
taken on 8 January 2015. Senior party member Maithreepala Sirisena, a
member of the President’s own party, crossed over to challenge him as
the opposition common candidate. The common candidacy presents a grand
coalition of political forces. The joint opposition coalition harnesses
the support of former President Chandrika Bandaranayake and the
opposition leader Ranil Wickramasinghe. It promises an overhaul of
contemporary political culture within a 100 days of assuming Presidency.
The centre of this change lies in the abolition of the Executive
Presidency.
A total change of the system is still to be implemented and its
possibility remains curtailed due to the strength of the present
Executive Presidential system. In implementing total system change, it
is necessary to foresee its consequences and evaluate the practical
aspects of the new system being implemented. To curtail or minimise the
existing powers of the Presidency rather than going for a total system
change is an option. Total system change is a gamble. It may be
beneficial or could dismantle the development process and weaken
existing political systems. The Executive Presidency has helped defeat
terrorism; however, it is arguable that the very reason for the
emergence of the conflict were these same Executive Powers. The 1982
extension of the parliamentary term without election is an example of
the danger of this Presidency at play.
At the foothills of the Himalayas, the 18th SAARC summit showcased
heated geopolitics. Pakistan's bid to invite China as a full member
caused much speculation from neighbouring India. Reflecting on the words
of former President JR Jayawardena at the inception of SAARC summit:
"We are setting this ship afloat today. There may be mutiny on board, I
hope not. The sea may be stormy but the ship must sail in and enter the
ports of poverty, hunger, unemployment, malnutrition, disease and seek
to bring comfort to those who need it." SAARC should focus on improving
living standards of the poorest in the region. Focus should lie on
economic prosperity to the bottom of the pyramid, improving trade and
infrastructure. In its thirty year history SAARC summits have been
convened eleven times. Rivalry between member nations such as India and
Pakistan limit the regional integration SAARC represents.
In this backdrop, Sino-South Asian engagement intensifies. AIIB projects
such as the Maritime Silk Road continue on a budget of thirty billion
dollars. During the summit, South Asian infrastructure development was
promised by China’s Vice Foreign Minister, Madam Fu Ying. Chinese
presence strengthens in regions such as the Middle East and Africa.
Dubai is home to over 4,000 Chinese companies with trade without oil
trade reaching $40 billion. Both partake in a bilateral strategic
relationship. An ongoing African railway project through Chinese
investments extends from Nairobi to Mombasa with plans to extend to
Burundi, Rwanda and South Sudan. It is estimated to reach $100 billion
Chinese investment by 2020. Such economic moves by China align with its
target to become the world’s largest economy by 2025. Despite waves of
Chinese political history shutting the nation out of the global sphere,
China has made a giant comeback. Moving three hundred million Chinese
citizens from a state of poverty to the middle income bracket is a
remarkable domestic achievement. Domestic reform was not the result of
sudden action but steady consistent reforms over time.
Democracy is necessary in order to preserve individual freedom and
expand a nation’s power through free thought. Sri Lanka comes from a
rich democratic culture and is progressing from being an economy that
was factor-driven to being efficiency-driven. It should focus its
strategy over the next three decades on graduating towards an
innovation-driven economy. The people lie at the core of this economic
shift. Outstanding political manifestos and rhetoric limited to a
handful are redundant in the long term. 40 per cent students failing at
GCE O/L is a warning for strategic investment in improving education
quality and increasing budgets for R&D as it is connected. In a
simple example, the investment in scientist engineers’ education will
pave the way for future innovation. The economy is not a slot machine.
Investments in casino projects are short-term, however investments in
education, innovation and human resources to facilitate an
innovation-driven economy is for the long-term. With developed human
capital we will be able to tap few areas in the global value chain.
Blaise Pascal says “Man’s grandeur is that he knows himself to be
miserable, grandeur must be abandoned to be appreciated. Continuity in
everything is unpleasant.” Between grandeur and misery people aspire for
betterment and continue the struggle to retain the richness left in
democracy.
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