11 Nov 2022

Protests continue in Iran in face of government repression

Jean Shaoul


Students and young people have protested in more than 200 towns and cities across Iran. The demonstrations and rallies have been ongoing for two months, despite the brutal crackdown ordered by the government of President Ebrahim Raisi, with solidarity protests taking place in Europe, the United States and parts of the Middle East.

Initial protests were sparked by the death of 22-year-old Kurdish woman Mahsa Amini at the hands of the regime’s morality police after her arrest for “improperly” wearing a hijab. Fueled by widespread anger over social and economic conditions, including high unemployment, and the corruption and monopolization of political power by the Shia clerical establishment, protests that started in the Kurdish provinces soon morphed into wider, anti-government rallies throughout the country.

However, having made no appeal to the working class, the largely leaderless youth movement has attracted little active support from workers, apart from brief strikes by teachers and oil workers last month, leaving them vulnerable to government repression.

Iranians protest 22-year-old woman Mahsa Amini's death after she was detained by the morality police, in Tehran, Sept. 20, 2022. [AP Photo/Middle East Images, File]

Appalling living conditions are to a large extent the result of the brutal sanctions regime imposed by Washington after the Trump administration unilaterally abandoned the 2015 nuclear accords. It was little short of a declaration of war on Iran. While the incoming Biden administration claimed it wanted to restore the deal, the talks have been stalled by the ever-increasing demands from Washington, coming to a halt in September. Iran’s oil exports have plummeted, slashing the country’s most important source of income, while its currency has fallen to its lowest-ever level against the dollar.

Amid provocative military threats and actions, President Joe Biden has sought to establish an anti-Iran alliance of the Gulf states, Egypt, Morocco, Jordan and Israel. Tel Aviv, acting as Washington’s attack dog, has stepped up its aggressive air strikes against Iranian targets in Syria, the Persian Gulf and the Eastern Mediterranean, even as it carries out acts of sabotage within Iran.

According to official figures, inflation in Iran is running at 54 percent and food prices have risen by more than 100 percent since President Ebrahim Raisi took office in August last. Last May, his government began removing subsidies worth up to $15 billion on the import of basic foods, medicine, and animal feed, although it said there would be some cash assistance to some families. Iran’s youth—two thirds of Iran’s 85 million population are under 30 years of age—are some of the worst affected. Some 27 percent are without work, with those in the ethnic minority areas of Sistan-Baluchestan and Kurdistan among the worst affected.

As well as the protests over Amini’s death, there have been demonstrations in Sistan-Baluchestan, near the border with Afghanistan and Pakistan, over the alleged rape of a teenage girl by a police officer. An “unprecedented” crackdown on the Baluchis by the security forces in the provincial capital of Zahedan in late September killed at least 82 people.

While the protests have been smaller than those of 2018 to 2019, they have lasted longer than any since the movement that brought down the Shah’s regime, with demonstrators calling for the downfall of the ruling establishment and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. They have been met with far greater violence by the authorities, with leading figures calling for mass trials and harsh sentencing, including the death penalty.

Security forces have attacked unarmed protesters with live fire, beaten them with batons and thrown tear gas at funerals, on the streets and at universities and high schools, killing 318 protesters, including at least 49 children, according to the US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA). 38 members of the security forces have been killed.  

The funerals for the dead have sparked further protests, with young people shouting slogans such as “Death to the dictator,” and “Women, life, freedom!”

Memorial rallies have been held to commemorate the 40th day of mourning for victims in at least 10 cities that were broken up by armed riot police.

At least 14,000 people have been arrested, including 392 students. The New York-based Committee to Protect Journalists said that 54 journalists had been arrested, a dozen of whom were released on bail. The government has severely limited internet access and communications.

On Sunday, legislators called on Iran’s judiciary to take “decisive” action against protestors, whose actions they referred to as “riots” and “seditions,” saying that the US was targeting Iran to effect regime change. The US and its allies had “openly entered the scene,” providing finance and encouraging “thugs” to attack security forces, leading to dozens of deaths. They called for the judiciary to punish the attackers with equal consequences, taken to mean the call for the death penalty.  

Some leading figures have called for dialogue with the protesters, with Grand Ayatollah Hossein Nouri Hamadani urging the government to listen to the people’s demands. The former speaker of the Majles, now a senior adviser to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Ali Larijani said, “the government in Tehran badly needs to listen to the other side.” He advised the government to consider the fact that “Perhaps the other side is also partly right.” Nevertheless, he added that Iran’s “enemies” were behind the uprising, saying, “The enemy has targeted Iran as a whole... In a neighboring country, the Americans are openly telling Iran’s counter-revolutionaries to be active and exert pressure on Tehran.”

Tehran has repeatedly blamed the US and Israel for orchestrating the protests and accused western intelligence agencies, including the CIA, of instigating the violence, fueling ethnic and religious tensions and collaborating with exiled Kurdish groups. Last week, in a joint statement with the Islamic Revolutionary Guards, Iran’s intelligence service accused two female Iranian journalists who publicised Amini’s death of being foreign agents trained by the US to create chaos, leading to their arrest and detention by the authorities.

Iran has also accused Saudi Arabia of fueling the unrest via its funding of its Persian language network, Iran International, that has reported the protests extensively.

The major powers have lost no time in denouncing Tehran for “violently suppressing peaceful protesters.”

At the end of last month, the Biden administration unveiled a new tranche of sanctions targeting commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, a provincial governor and other Iranian officials involved in Tehran’s crackdown. Canada, the UK and European Union followed suit.

Washington has also given internet software companies permission to bypass sanctions to provide SpaceX’s satellite internet service Starlink to the Iranian market to evade state restrictions on the internet. It has tried to remove Iran from the UN Commission on the Status of Women, and to form an investigative body under the auspices of the UN’s human rights council. Iran’s UN ambassador, Amir Saeid Iravani, denounced this, telling reporters that its objective was “clearly to interfere in the domestic affairs of a sovereign state” in violation of the UN Charter.

The US and European imperialist powers have also seized on reports that Russia is using drones supplied by Tehran in its invasion of Ukraine, potentially opening up another front on the war. 

Speaking at an election campaign rally in California last Thursday, Biden promised to “free Iran,” adding that the protesters would “free themselves pretty soon.”

COVID-19 reinfections substantially increase risk of death and Long COVID

Benjamin Mateus & Evan Blake


A major study published today in the scientific journal Nature Medicine found that each COVID-19 reinfection causes cumulative damage to patients and significantly increases their risk of death, hospitalization, and long-term sequelae referred to under the umbrella term “Long COVID.”

The study, titled “Acute and post-acute sequelae associated with SARS-CoV-2 reinfection,” was conducted by noted COVID-19 researcher Dr. Ziyad Al-Aly and his colleagues from Washington University in St. Louis. It is believed to be the first study to date on the risks associated with COVID-19 reinfections, which have become increasingly common over the past year with the highly infectious and immune-resistant Omicron subvariants. Official data from Singapore indicates that at the peak of the recent surge of the Omicron XBB subvariant, roughly 18 percent of all cases were reinfections.

More so than any other study, this paper exposes the horrifying reality of the “forever COVID” policy imposed by the Biden administration in the United States and nearly every other world government outside China. Upending Biden’s lie that “the pandemic is over,” the study makes clear that each new wave of COVID-19 infections and reinfections will progressively kill and debilitate wider sections of the population.

Summarizing their findings, the authors write, “Compared to no reinfection, reinfection contributed additional risks of death… hospitalization… and sequelae including pulmonary, cardiovascular, hematological, diabetes, gastrointestinal, kidney, mental health, musculoskeletal and neurological disorders. The risks were evident regardless of vaccination status. The risks were most pronounced in the acute phase but persisted in the post-acute phase at 6 months. Compared to noninfected controls, cumulative risks and burdens of repeat infection increased according to the number of infections.”

Figure 1: Risk and 6-month excess burden of all-cause mortality, hospitalization, at least one sequela and sequelae by organ system. [Photo by Benjamin Bowe et al / CC BY 4.0]

When the preprint version of this study was published in June, its dire findings were denounced by various right-wing figures and unprincipled scientists who have minimized the ongoing dangers of the pandemic. However, the fundamental results and analysis have weathered the objective process of professional review and remain unchanged from the preprint version.

All-cause mortality risk more than doubles after reinfection

As in their previous studies documenting the impacts of Long COVID, the research team relied on enormous electronic healthcare databases from the US Department of Veterans Affairs.

The study compared 443,588 people with a single COVID-19 infection with 40,947 who had reinfections. Of those reinfected, 37,997 had two infections, 2,572 had three infections, and 378 suffered four or more infections. All were followed-up 180 days after their last infection or reinfection and their risks for various health outcomes including mortality were assessed and compared.

In the study, the mean age of the group with one infection and the reinfection group was the same at roughly 60 years of age. Although the study does not provide all-cause mortality rates for the non-infected in the same 180-day window, life tables from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) indicate that before the pandemic, a person that was 60 years old had a burden of death of 11.5 per 1,000 people over a 12-month window, meaning that around 1.15 percent of all people 60 years of age would have died before reaching 61.

According to the data from the reinfections study, for those with only one COVID-19 infection, the burden of death at six months post-infection was 16.77 for 1,000 people. Thus, a single COVID-19 infection significantly increases one’s chances of dying should they survive the acute phase of their infection.

However, among those who were reinfected with COVID-19, the burden of deaths per 1,000 people jumped to a staggering 36.10. This figure is more than three-fold higher than what would be expected before the pandemic and more than double the burden of mortality of the first infection. In essence, having a single COVID-19 reinfection is equivalent to having aged several years beyond one’s stated age.

Vaccines, “hybrid immunity” and Long COVID

One of the most alarming aspects of the study is its finding that prior vaccination with one, two or more jabs before reinfection did not curtail long-term all-cause mortality risks. Although all-cause mortality risks declined after the acute phase of the infection (the first 30 days), after three months the risk of dying plateaued above the baseline throughout the six-month period of analysis.

Figure 2: Risk of all-cause mortality, hospitalization, at least one sequela and sequelae by organ system are plotted. At the time of comparison, there were 51.3%, 12.6% and 36.2% with no, one and two or more vaccinations, respectively, among those who had reinfection. At the time of comparison, there were 41.1%, 11.7% and 47.2% with no, one and two or more vaccinations, respectively, among the no reinfection group. [Photo by Benjamin Bowe et al / CC BY 4.0]

The authors note that the compounding damage of reinfections “was evident even among fully vaccinated people, suggesting that even combined (a hybrid of) natural immunity (from previous infection) and vaccine-induced immunity does not abrogate the risk of adverse health effects after reinfection.”

They add, “The mechanism underpinning the increased risks of death and adverse health outcomes in reinfection are not completely clear. Previous exposure to the virus may be expected to hypothetically reduce risk of reinfection and its severity; however, SARS-CoV-2 is mutating rapidly and new variants and subvariants are replacing older ones every few months. Evidence suggests that the reinfection risk is especially higher with the Omicron variant, which has shown to have a marked ability to evade immunity from previous infections.”

These findings are a damning indictment of the false and unscientific conception of “hybrid immunity,” advanced by most politicians and official scientists worldwide, in which “natural” infections with Omicron have been touted as a positive good that will cause COVID-19 to become “endemic.”

Last January, Dr. Anthony Fauci stated, “It is an open question as to whether or not Omicron is going to be the live virus vaccination that everyone is hoping for.” These lies went unchallenged by every political tendency and media outlet except the International Committee of the Fourth International (ICFI) and the World Socialist Web Site.

Significantly, the study finds that long-term sequelae affecting various organs like the heart, kidneys, lungs, brain, and general constitution were all persistently elevated throughout the six-month post-reinfection assessment. Additionally, this burden of poorer health was cumulative between first, second, third and fourth reinfections. In particular, the lungs, heart, and vascular system were most impacted by repeat infections, leading to a considerable burden of disease.

Figure 4: Risk and 6-month excess burden of sequelae by organ system of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection versus no reinfection in 30-d intervals covering the acute and postacute phases of reinfection. [Photo by Benjamin Bowe et al / CC BY 4.0]

In another study published earlier this year, Dr. Al-Aly and his team found that people with breakthrough infection after being vaccinated only had a 15 percent lower chance of developing Long COVID and were at increased risk of death and organ damage compared to controls who never were infected.

In their reinfections study, the authors hypothesize that “impaired health as a consequence of the first infection” might increase one’s risk of more adverse health outcomes with repeat infections. Indeed, studies have shown that COVID-19 can injure one’s immune system, potentially setting them up for more onerous sequalae upon reinfection with COVID-19 or other viruses. These studies provide firm evidence that infection with SARS-CoV-2 qualifies as a consequential pre-existing health condition irrespective of one’s vaccination status.

recent report in The Tyee reviews the science behind these concerns and the critical role of immunologist Dr. Anthony Leonardi, who has spoken out continuously on dangers of the “herd immunity” strategy, particularly for children. Ultimately at play here is the idea that allowing the virus to rip through communities, wave after wave, is a public health hazard that is having dire repercussions.

Conclusion

The results of the reinfection study are of immense importance in that they validate in the negative the precautionary principle that many scientists have advocated against the “forever COVID” policy that places the interests of Wall Street above humanity.

They also underscore the salient point that COVID is in no way comparable to the flu. Indeed, SARS-CoV-2, if not fatal, can lead to multi-organ injury with long-term consequences to the health of those infected, with compounding risks upon each reinfection.

Due to the conscious repudiation of all public health measures to mitigate against COVID-19, society confronts the unimpeded evolution of increasingly immune-evasive variants which steadily raise the risk of reinfections. Each wave of infection will further drive non-COVID excess deaths, which remain invisible to the public, and further strain healthcare systems already brought to their knees globally after three years of the pandemic.

Figure 5: Risk and 1-year excess burden of hospitalization, at least one sequela and sequelae by organ system are plotted. Results from one SARS-CoV-2 infection (n = 234,990), two SARS-CoV-2 infections (n = 28,509) and three or more SARS-CoV-2 infections (n = 1,023) versus noninfected controls (n = 5,334,729), in those with a first infection before the Omicron wave, are compared. [Photo by Benjamin Bowe et al / CC BY 4.0]

Despite repeated claims that the number of deaths caused by COVID-19 are at pandemic lows, excess non-COVID deaths reported by various countries such as Peru, the UK, Northern European countries, and Australia are anywhere from five to 20 percent over pre-pandemic baselines. These are astronomical figures of which there is no mention in the corporate media.

These extra deaths can only be explained by the horrendous experiences of the last three years, in which the population has been left to fend for itself and subject to unending waves of mass infection, death and debilitation.

In many respects, the reports by Dr. Al-Aly and his colleagues have an evidentiary quality to them. They function as a forensic analysis of the crime of “social murder” committed by the ruling elites globally. Although an autopsy report is detached and formal in meticulously describing the trauma or disease sustained by the deceased, a dispassionate and objective introduction of the facts in an inquest, once made conscious of them, cannot be overlooked.

The policy makers guilty of this social crime must be held to account for the deaths of an estimated over 20 million people worldwide and the disabling of hundreds of millions more with Long COVID. Fundamentally, the ongoing disaster of the pandemic is an irrefutable indictment of world capitalism, which subordinates all social needs to the profit interests of a rapacious financial oligarchy. This outmoded system must be replaced by a world socialist society which reorganizes world economy to ensure the health and decent living conditions of all of humanity.

German companies announce mass redundancies and social cuts

Christopher Lehmann


A series of announcements by German companies, administrations, commerce and the social sector is having dramatic consequences for many thousands of workers. Hardly a day passes without the announcement of new company insolvencies, redundancies and rationalisation measures, involving huge cuts to wages and working conditions.

Protest against job cuts at the Daimler plant in Berlin Marienfelde, November 2020. [Photo: WSWS]

The ruling elite in Germany and throughout Europe are using the economic crisis and galloping inflation to implement a massive assault on social gains. German banks have been able to profit from huge state handouts and the country’s major energy and car companies are reporting record profits, while at the same time small and medium-sized enterprises are being driven en masse into insolvency and tens of thousands of workers laid off.

In the process, corporate bosses are relying on plans drawn up long ago, aimed at maximising their profits. According to a survey of 1,060 companies by the Ifo Institute, 25 percent plan to cut jobs in Germany. In the last Ifo survey in April, this figure stood at 14 percent. About 90 percent expect price increases. A complete production stop is currently considered likely by 13 percent of companies and the relocation of operations abroad by 9 percent.

In their onslaught against the working class, employers and their business associations are working closely together with the trade unions and the government. To this end, this spring the so-called Concerted Action was revived—a corporatist mechanism, which already served to suppress class struggles in the 1970s.

The federal government in Berlin is using the Ukraine war to press ahead with a comprehensive military build-up, which has also been planned and prepared for a long time. At the same time, corporate Germany is using the sanctions and its economic war against Russia to strengthen its dominance in Europe and worldwide with the costs of this great power policy imposed on the working class. This is the background to the massive social attacks that are currently taking place.

The following is an overview of the latest news, but it does not claim to be complete and must be updated daily. The WSWS editorial board calls on its readers to inform us about further dismissals and their own experiences in order to organise and coordinate resistance against these attacks.

Retail: The Galeria department stores group is cancelling its “Reorganisation Contract Agreement' agreed to by the Verdi trade union in 2019. The company wants to reorganise but, as Verdi admits, at the expense of its workers. They will lose their contractual security of pay, employment and location. Numerous branches of the group will have to close. In addition, no new temporary workers are likely to be hired. Only last January, the company received a €220 million bailout from the federal government.

Foodstuffs: At the pasta producer Riesa Nudeln in Saxony, negotiations between the NGG (food workers) trade union and the Freidler family of entrepreneurs broke down after four weeks of strike action. The NGG union wanted to raise the minimum wage of €12.51 for many of the 140 workers (in addition to the 30-40 temporary workers not affected) by one euro immediately and another euro sometime next year. Even this measly offer was rejected by management.

Dr. Oetker food products has announced plans to save €250 million a year and cut jobs in all areas of the company and in all of its affiliated branches in 40 different countries.

Electronics: The new head of the Dutch global corporation Philips plans to cut 4,000 of the company’s total of 78,000 jobs.

Bosch is closing its plant in Arnstad, Thuringia, and sacking 100 workers. Alternator regulators have been produced there since 2014. At the company’s Eisenach plant, also in Thuringia, 600 Bosch colleagues recently took part in a short-term warning strike. In Bühl, Baden-Württemberg, the works council cancelled a long-planned meeting for all three shifts at short notice because, it claimed, the company had problems with its financing. The company intends to lay off 300 of its 3,500 strong workforce and relocate production to Eastern Europe where, according to the works council chair, there is no protection against dismissal and workers work a 12-hour day.

Siemens Gamesa is cutting 2,900 jobs worldwide, or about 10 percent of its workforce. The wind turbine manufacturer, a subsidiary of the power engineering group Siemens Energy, plans to cut 800 jobs in Denmark, 475 in Spain and 300 in Germany.

Chemical Industry: With a new savings programme, BASF plans to save €500 million annually from 2025 and cut jobs in a yet unspecified number. Last year, BASF had already laid off 6,000 workers. The job cuts will mainly affect the company's main site in Ludwigshafen, where 39,000 of its 110,700 employees are currently working; €250 million are to be saved there.

At the chemical company Grace in Worms, Rhineland-Palatinate, 100 of 840 jobs are to be terminated. A total of 4,300 employees in over 60 countries currently work for the company.

Metal and mining industries: In Eisenhüttenstadt, Brandenburg, 900 steelworkers are on short-time work. At a protest last month they demanded an end to the war in Ukraine and affordable energy.

In Nordenham, Lower Saxony, 400 workers have also been forced to work short-time with the zinc smelter plant to suspend production for a full year.

Mechanical engineering: The special machinery manufacturer Zippel in Neutraubling, Bavaria, is insolvent and 94 workers are due to lose their jobs.

Contrary to earlier claims, FLSmidth, a conveyor technology supplier, now wants to cut almost all 140 jobs at its site in St. Ingbert-Rohrbach. The company had only bought the plant from steel giant ThyssenKrupp last September.

Auto industry: According to an S&P report, Europe’s car production could fall by more than one million vehicles per quarter in 2023. Rising energy costs are putting a strain on supply chains. Parts shortages and bottlenecks could even lead companies to stop production altogether. In this case, S&P expects a production shortfall of 4.8 million to 6.8 million units on an annual basis.

In Ingolstadt, Bavaria, Audi is experiencing shift cancellations on two out of three production lines due to supply problems with semiconductors, among other things. The entire auto industry was already struggling due to supply problems linked to wiring harnesses at the very beginning of the NATO proxy war in Ukraine.

Opel partner Segula plans to shed 250 of 750 workers in Rüsselsheim, Hesse.

The Ford plant in Saarlouis will be gradually shut down and around 4,000 of the factory’s 4,600 employees are to be laid off. This will lead to the elimination of many thousands more jobs in supplier factories in an already structurally weak region.

Mercedes is forcing up to 2,500 employees in Bremen to work short-time.

After protests against the dismissal of 690 workers at ZF (Zahnradfabrik Friedrichshafen) in Eitorf, the IG Metall trade union intervened, requesting the company organise the job cuts in a “socially acceptable” way.

The auto supplier Schaeffler is cutting an additional 1,300 jobs in Ingolstadt and Morbach and stresses: “The measure should be as socially acceptable as possible on the basis of the agreement struck with IG Metall in 2018.” In the coming months, “location concepts are to be developed together with the employees’ representatives.”

At Volkswagen, the no-strike period laid down by the current contract ends on November 30, 2022. The new negotiations will affect VW’s core workforce in Braunschweig, Wolfsburg, Kassel, Salzgitter, Hanover, Emden and other plants. For the approximately 125,000 employees, the first round of negotiations ended without a result. Despite a historic record dividend for shareholders, similar to that awarded by Mercedes-Benz and BMW, the union is demanding only a little more than 8 percent, i.e., far less than the rate of inflation.

Based on the contract bargaining rounds in the public sector and the engineering sector, the WSWS wrote: “The current round of collective bargaining and the great willingness of workers to resist sliding into poverty and subsistence must be made the starting point for an offensive against the war and its social consequences. To compensate for the current rate of inflation and earlier real wage cuts, high double-digit wage increases must be fought for, not just 8 percent.”

In this struggle, workers face concerted opposition from the unions, which support the federal government’s war policy against Russia and operate as company police, an extended arm of management with the task of thwarting all the demands of workers in the factories.

October inflation report: Prices continue to devastate living standards of US workers

Kevin Reed


Inflation rose at an unadjusted annual rate of 7.7 percent in October, according to data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Thursday morning. The report noted that consumer prices rose by 0.4 percent over September, the same rate as the previous month.

While consumer prices are still rising at a pace not seen since the early 1980s, with devastating consequences for working class living standards, the October rate was less than the 7.9 percent that had been predicted by analysts.

The BLS Consumer Pricing Index (CPI) summary said the inflation rate for October was “the smallest 12-month increase since the period ending January 2022,” and was down from the September rate of 8.2 percent.

The statement said that the “all items less food and energy index rose 6.3 percent over the last 12 months.” But in the critical categories of energy and food, prices increased by 17.6 percent and 10.9 percent respectively.

People shop at the Homeland grocery store in Oklahoma City. [AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki, File]

The apparent slowing of inflation was welcomed in the corporate press as a sign of “cooling.” This was presented entirely from the standpoint of the concerns of the wealthy over the long-term effect of rising interest rates on their asset portfolios.

The New York Times said the October inflation report “provides early evidence that the Fed’s campaign to slow rapid inflation may be combining with supply chain healing to ease price pressures.” The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by an unprecedented 0.75 basis points in four consecutive meetings, with the explicit aim of driving up unemployment and driving down working class wages.

The financial elite celebrated the inflation report with the biggest Wall Street rally since 2020. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1,201 points, or 3.7 percent. The S&P 500 rose 5.4 percent and the NASDAQ gained 7.35 percent.

The stock market surge was not driven by concerns over the impossible situation facing workers, whose living costs are exploding while their real wages stagnate or decline. It shot up because billionaire investors see in the inflation report the possibility of a return to easy money that existed prior to the Fed interest rate hikes that began early this year.

They were also cheered by the prospect of an economic slowdown engineered by the Fed undercutting a growing rebellion among workers against the corporations and the pro-corporate union bureaucracies. Already 120,000 rail workers are poised to strike against contracts dictated by the companies and pushed by the Biden administration—defying union leaders who are working with the White House to block strike action—that would maintain inhuman working conditions and impose further cuts in real wages.

As the New York Times reported, “The palpable sense of relief in markets is reflective of the pain wrought by inflation this year, as rising prices have increased costs for companies and dragged earnings lower.”

The Times added that “a chorus of Federal Reserve officials on Thursday made it clear that central bankers would stick with their plans to raise interest rates to an economy-restricting level and hold them there for some time, even if they slow the pace of those moves in coming months.”

Lorie K. Logan, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, explained in a speech Thursday morning that interest rates will remain high and the Fed’s instigation of a recession will continue. She said, “This morning’s C.P.I. data were a welcome relief. But there is still a long way to go.”

The October BLS inflation report showed that food at work and school was up 95.2 percent so far this year, airline fees were up 42.9 percent, public transportation was up 28.1 percent, health insurance was up 20.6 percent, gasoline was up 17.5 percent, electricity was up 14.1 percent, motor vehicle insurance was up 12.9 percent and food at home was up 12.4 percent.

Rent was up 0.7 percent compared to the month before and is up 7.5 percent over the year. Home mortgage rates continue to soar, with the 30-year fixed rate heading toward 8 percent.

The inflation report arrived two days after the 2022 midterm elections, in which, as of this writing, votes were still being counted in several contested races and political control of both the House and Senate was still undetermined.

Whatever the outcome of the vote, it is clear that the Democrats will move further to the right and join with the increasingly fascistic Republican Party to continue the proxy war against Russia in Ukraine and mount further attacks on government spending on social programs.

Ron Johnson, the third-term Republican senator from Wisconsin who was reelected by a margin of just over 26,000 votes on Tuesday, published a column in the Wall Street Journal on Thursday that outlined a program of nationalism, militarism, austerity and further deregulation of the energy industry.

With control of the House likely to shift by a narrow margin to the Republicans and the Senate outcome uncertain, Johnson wrote that the agenda of the US government going forward should be: “[O]ther than national defense, don’t consider any bill that would increase the size, scope or cost of the federal government.”

Johnson, who calls for ending Social Security and Medicare as mandatory spending programs, continued: “[F]ocus congressional attention on oversight of existing programs to determine which should be reformed, reduced or eliminated. Concentrate on areas of the budget that have the greatest negative effect on freedom, our economy and people’s lives.”

In other words, anything that does not benefit big business should be cut back or scrapped entirely. Furthermore, Johnson says, “The agenda items should be obvious: secure the border, regain energy independence, restore fiscal sanity, ease the regulatory burden, and ensure a competitive tax environment.”

Under conditions of an intensifying crisis of the US political system and growing social opposition from the working class, Biden and the Democrats have already signaled their readiness to “focus on the future,” i.e., forget about the Republican Party’s support for Donald Trump’s attempted coup of January 6, 2021, and find “common ground” for a bipartisan program of war and austerity.

Brazilian military’s report on elections lends ammunition to coup plots

Tomas Castanheira


This Wednesday saw the publication of the Brazilian military’s report on its “parallel audit” of the recent election in which Workers Party (PT) candidate and former President Luís Inácio Lula da Silva defeated the country’s fascistic incumbent president, Jair Bolsonaro.

Military parade on the commemoration of Brazil’s independence, September 7, 2022. [Photo: Alan Santos/PR]

The Armed Forces had previously stated that their results would be made available only in early January at the time of the inauguration. Far from representing a conclusion to the military’s conspiracy against democracy in Brazil, the accelerated release of the report only opens up new avenues for the deepening of ongoing coup plots.

The report, signed by a representative of each of the country’s three Armed Forces, was sent to the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) accompanied by a letter from Minister of Defense Gen. Paulo Sérgio Oliveira. Its main conclusion is that the “military technicians” identified electoral procedures that imply “relevant risk to the security of the process,” adding that “it is not possible to affirm that the electronic voting system is free from the influence of a possible malicious code that could alter its operation.”

The report contains repeated statements that “the tools and procedures made available by the TSE technical team for the work of the inspection entities were not sufficient for a more complete technical analysis” and “hindered the search for possible vulnerabilities of the SEV [Electronic Voting System].”

In light of these allegations, General Oliveira demanded that the High Court urgently organize an external commission to “conduct a technical investigation of what happened in the compiling of the source code and its possible effects” and to “promote a thorough analysis of the binary codes that were actually executed in the electronic ballot boxes” [our emphasis]. According to him, this is a condition for the maintenance of “political and social harmony in Brazil.”

In the defense minister’s letter and in two instances in the report itself, the military made sure to declare that their “work was restricted to the inspection of the electronic voting system, not including other activities, such as, for example, the manifestation about eventual indications of electoral crimes.”

In the hands of the Bolsonaro and his fascistic supporters, these documents provide endless ammunition for their coup plots against the election results.

Since the victory of the PT candidate Lula 10 days ago, Bolsonaro has refrained from public appearances as much as possible. In his brief public statements, he has refused to acknowledge his rival’s victory and expressed his support for the fascist protesters challenging the “injustice of how the electoral process took place” and calling for a military coup.

On Tuesday, Valdemar da Costa Neto, the president of the Liberal Party (PL), Bolsonaro’s party, which has the largest number of seats in Congress, for the first time declared that the PL has yet to accept the results at the ballot box. He stated: “We will have to wait for the Army’s report tomorrow. We have several question that we have directed to the TSE, and we will wait for the answers. Tomorrow [the military] will reveal something, I have no doubt about that, otherwise they would have already settled the matter.”

Neither Costa Neto nor Bolsonaro has made any declarations since the report’s publication.

The overwhelming response of the Brazilian and international media to the military’s report and its obvious explosive implications for the current political situation was to present reality as its exact opposite.

Instead of exposing the military’s intervention as one of the gravest attacks, Minister Alexandre de Moraes on democracy in the history of Brazil’s current civilian regime, some of the main headlines declared: “Military report does not point to ballot box fraud and arrives at the same vote count as TSE” (Estado de São Paulo); “Defense report does not point to election fraud, and TSE is grateful” (Folha de São Paulo); “Brazil military finds no evidence of election fraud, dashing hopes of Bolsonaro supporters” (Guardian).

The same forced positive tone marked the official response by the TSE. A message from its president, Minister Alexandre de Moraes, said: “The Superior Electoral Court received with satisfaction the final report of the Ministry of Defense, which, like all other inspection entities, did not point to the existence of any fraud or inconsistency in the electronic ballot boxes and the 2022 electoral process.”

A sharp rebuke from the fascistic defense minister came the next morning, with a new official statement titled “Report of the Armed Forces did not exclude the possibility of fraud or inconsistency in the electronic ballot boxes.” With the expressed aim of “avoiding distortions of the content of the report sent yesterday to the TSE,” the minister’s statement only reiterated the attacks that were already sufficiently spelled out the day before.

Perhaps even more unbelievable was the response from the most direct target of the conspiracy fomented by the military: President-elect Lula. In a speech Thursday at the government transition headquarters, the PT leader, in addition to remaining silent on the threats contained in the military’s report, sought to bestow a blanket amnesty on the Armed Forces for their crimes against democracy committed alongside Bolsonaro.

Condemning Bolsonaro for “involving the Armed Forces” in “a commission to investigate electronic ballot boxes, something that belongs to civil society,” Lula declared in relation to the report:

“The result was humiliating, humiliating. I don’t know if the president is sick, but he has an obligation to go on television and apologize to Brazilian society and apologize to the Armed Forces, for having used the Armed Forces, which is a serious institution, which is a guarantor for the Brazilian people against possible external enemies, [and] was humiliated, presenting a report that says nothing, nothing, absolutely nothing about what he had so long charged.”

Lula’s insinuation that Bolsonaro dragged the military by force into intervening in Brazilian politics is absurd. This process, which only deepened under the current government, has been growing in Brazil since the years of PT administrations, including through the military operations promoted by Lula himself overseas, with Brazil leading the UN “pacification” operations in Haiti, and domestically, with the occupation of Rio de Janeiro’s favelas.

Under the Bolsonaro government but independently of him, the military has legitimized itself as the ultimate arbiter of politics in Brazil. The generals have occupied ministries, publicly threatened civilian powers that questioned them, granted themselves the right to pronounce over the electoral process and to dictate strategic plans that supersede the decisions of elected governments.

The return to political decision-making by the military—which ruled Brazil under a brutal dictatorship for more than two decades following a US-backed 1964 coup—reflects the growing crisis of a Brazilian bourgeoisie that is unable to manage intolerable levels of social inequality at home and to sustain its economic interests in an increasingly explosive global arena.

The fact that Lula and the PT are deliberately covering up the military-driven coup threats is an expression of their complete submission to the interests of rotting Brazilian capitalism. Lula’s silence on the military’s authoritarian attacks, his embrace of Bolsonaro’s allied parties, and his promises of “institutional normalcy” are being widely praised by the ruling class.

Whether this policy will hand Lula an effective transition of government by early January remains to be seen. But the history of the 20th century proves that such maneuvers are absolutely incapable of guaranteeing the social rights of the working class and of preventing the growth of fascism, which will use this period to better prepare its forces for a coup.

10 Nov 2022

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Value of UK GREAT Scholarships: Each scholarship is worth a minimum of £10,000 towards tuition fees for a one-year postgraduate course. 

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