5 Mar 2022

Australian workers face closure of Eraring coal-fired power plant by 2025

Patrick Davies


On February 17, Origin Energy announced that the closure of the largest single power station in Australia would be brought forward from 2022 to August 2025.

The coal-fired Eraring plant in the Lake Macquarie, New South Wales (NSW) region, north of Sydney, has produced electricity for four decades and has a workforce of around 500, including permanent employees and contractors. The early closure further threatens the livelihoods of many more workers in the region, including those in nearby mines that supply the plant.

Eraring Power Station [Source: Wikimedia]

Origin chief executive Frank Calabria said the closure was being brought forward due to increased market pressure from “lower cost generation, including solar, wind and batteries.”

As the market increasingly shifts away from fossil fuels, energy companies are compelled to adjust, not out of concern for the environment, but in defence of profits.

Origin reported a net loss of $2.29 million in 2021, following a net profit of $83 million in 2020. The company attributes this decline to lower demand due to COVID-19, greater rooftop solar uptake and increased output from large-scale renewable energy plants. These factors have pushed down the wholesale price of electricity, even as energy bills for individuals have soared.

NSW Energy Minister Matt Kean has been in discussions with Origin management about the early closure for several months, but the plans were hidden from workers and the Lake Macquarie community. Workers at the Eraring plant were given no advance notice of the company’s plan and only found out through the media or in meetings called by management on the day of the announcement.

Unusually, Origin has encouraged workers to speak to the media about the shutdown, likely in an attempt to lobby for government subsidies to prolong the profitable operating life of the plant.

The Australian Energy Market Operator has indicated it will approve the closure and claims there will be “enough electricity generation” to meet its targets at the time of the closure. Origin’s proposal relies on new capacity being built by 2025, including a 700-megawatt battery facility, far less than the 2,880-megawatt capacity of Eraring.

Origin claimed it would provide “reskilling, career support and redeployment into new roles, where possible.” In other words, any redeployment opportunities, should they arise at all, would be offered to a small number of workers, hand-picked by management.

The company’s retraining plan will not be shown to workers until the end of July, further shortening the time they would have to search for other work before the plant closes.

The Construction Forestry Maritime Mining Energy Union (CFMEU) and the Australian Manufacturing Workers Union (AMWU), which cover workers at the Eraring plant, claim they were “shocked and surprised,” and Origin had “blindsided” workers.

AMWU NSW secretary Cory Wright told the Australian Financial Review: “What this announcement shows us is the importance of workers and unions having a seat at the table in discussions around the closure of power stations.” The CFMEU issued a statement calling on Origin to “engage in genuine two-way consultation.”

The demand for a “seat at the table,” is not aimed at giving workers a voice, but at placing the union bureaucracy in the ideal position to prevent workers from organising a genuine, independent opposition to Origin’s dictates.

Wright claimed: “The AMWU will hold Origin to its stated aim of providing reskilling, career support and redeployment to impacted workers. We will not let any worker be left behind.”

The reality is, Origin’s statement commits it to nothing. The company has treated its workforce with utter contempt, yet both unions claim they will hold the company to its worthless promise.

The promise of alternative arrangements by companies seeking to eliminate production is a fraud promoted by the trade unions and governments to facilitate closures and shut down opposition.

Closures of major industrial sites have been carried out for decades, forming a distinct blueprint of union-management-government collusion. These previous experiences stand as a warning for workers at Eraring and throughout the energy industry.

During the 2017 shutdown of Victoria’s Hazelwood power station in the Latrobe Valley, the CFMEU collaborated with France-based multinational ENGIE, fully accepting the plant closure on the basis of the company’s bogus promise that “alternative arrangements” would be made for workers.

The Victorian state Labor government used a $22 million “transfer scheme partnership” to generate acceptance for the closure. The CFMEU and the Australian Council of Trade Unions hailed this as a model to be emulated elsewhere. In fact, by 2019, two years after the closure, fewer than half of the 850 participants in the Victorian government’s worker transition scheme had found full-time employment.

Those living in the Latrobe Valley were impacted severely by the loss of more than 1,000 direct and indirect jobs. Many workers were forced to retire early or leave the area. Coal-fired plant closures have transformed the region into a “poverty basket,” with high unemployment rates and disastrous socio-economic outcomes, such as increased substance abuse and violence.

The unions and consecutive Labor and Liberal governments since the 1990s have presided over a wave of privatisation. Previously state-owned electricity production and distribution networks in NSW, Victoria, South Australia and Queensland were sold off cheaply to private companies, destroying thousands of jobs in the process.

Origin purchased Eraring Energy from the NSW state government in 2013 for $950 million as part of a $3.25 billion sale of state-run electricity retailers Integral Energy and Country Energy. With the Eraring plant providing as much as a 20 percent of NSW’s electricity, the sale gave Origin a 33 percent stake in the National Electricity Market (NEM).

In 2019, Hunter, the federal electorate containing the Lake Macquarie and Hunter coal mining areas, saw a 14 percent swing against Labor in a seat held by the party for more than 100 years. A primary concern for working-class voters was Labor’s record on industrial closures and privatisation. The NSW Labor government of Kristina Keneally sold off the first tranche of the state’s electricity assets in 2010.

The impending closure of fossil fuel industries has huge implications for the working class. If the transition to renewable technology is left in the hands of corporations and capitalist governments, energy industry workers and their communities face severe losses to their livelihoods.

Climate change is an existential threat to society and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions must be drastically reduced, including through the closure of coal-fired power stations and other fossil fuel industries. But workers in these industries, who have created massive amounts of wealth for many of the richest people in Australia and the world, often at great risk to their health and lives, must not be forced to pay for the necessary transition to clean energy through the slashing of jobs.

The NEM is currently supplied by 16 coal-fired power stations. Sevenare slated to close by 2035, and the rest by 2051. Earlier this month, energy giant AGL announced that Loy Yang A, in the Latrobe Valley, and Bayswater, in the Hunter, would close at least three years ahead of schedule, by 2045 and 2033 respectively.

Under the revised plan, Eraring would shut before the Snowy Hydro 2.0 pumped hydro storage scheme comes fully online in 2026. Industry experts expect a loss of capacity will put upward pressure on prices.

With every development in technology the working class confronts the obstacle of the capitalist mode of production. In the hands of the financial elite, new technologies mean new ways to exploit workers and extract ever-increasing profits. In the hands of the working class however, these developments can be harnessed to reduce working hours and eliminate arduous tasks, with no reduction in pay.

Under the democratic control of workers, the vital transition to clean energy production would provide secure, safe and well-paid jobs for energy workers and an increased standard of living for the entire working class.

Eastern European governments at forefront of NATO war drive against Russia

Andrei Tudora & Tina Zamfir



A Ukrainian serviceman runs to deliver ammunition to an armored fighting vehicle during a live fire exercise in a Joint Forces Operation controlled area in the Donetsk region, eastern Ukraine, Thursday, Feb. 10, 2022. (AP Photo/Vadim Ghirda)

As the imperialist war drive against Russia intensifies, Eastern European regimes that have been turned into NATO strongholds in recent years are playing a leading role in the NATO proxy war in Ukraine.

Romania and Polish bourgeois classes, ruling over the largest countries on NATO’s eastern flank, are recklessly seeking to fan the flames of the conflict and advance their own predatory local interests.

On February 25, the leaders of the two countries organized a meeting of the so-called B9 format to denounce Russia. The B9 format is a military bloc that includes the Baltic countries, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Bulgaria. It was formed on the initiative of Poland and Romania in 2015 under US auspices and on an explicitly anti-Russian basis. One of the main objectives since its formation has been further expansion of direct imperialist control eastwards, especially into Moldova, Ukraine and Georgia, either through the B9, the EU or NATO in order to weaken and destabilize Russia.

The B9 bloc and its economic and logistical arm, the Three Seas Initiative (3SI or TSI), is a continuation of the Polish Intermarium, a predatory interwar project of the Polish bourgeoisie against Soviet Russia.

The two countries held a joint Government Meeting in Warsaw on Thursday to reinforce their direct collaboration. A Polish military contingent, it was announced, will be participating in the newly formed Romanian NATO Battle Group.

Romania President Klaus Iohannis maneuvered feverishly in the past week to be recognized by the imperialist powers as an important player in the Ukrainian conflict. On Thursday European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen confirmed that Romania will open a so-called “humanitarian hub” in Romania that will be used to funnel weapons into Ukraine, similar to an existing structure in Poland.

The two countries are also hosting the components of the US “anti-missile shield.” The launch pad in Deveselu, Romania, which became operational in 2016, has since been repeatedly denounced by Russia as a threat to its security.

Iohannis is working closely with Maia Sandu, the president of neighboring Moldova. Moldova is a former Soviet republic, landlocked between Romania and Ukraine, and sharing linguistic and cultural ties to Romania. The territory has in the past been the scene of violent conflicts, including a brief war in the 1990s in which Romanian-backed Moldova fought Russian forces over what would become the breakaway territory of Transnistria.

Since independence from the USSR, the country’s internal life has been dominated by the attempt of US and EU imperialism to enlist it against Russia. This has included a color revolution in 2009, as well as internal turmoil in recent years. The regime now headed by Maia Sandu is a staunchly anti-Russian one. The country has in recent years moved to closer integration of its army with NATO forces stationed in the region, as well as to deepen its energy and logistic connections to Romania.

Iohannis has repeatedly suggested in recent months that Romania will “stand by” Moldova and offer its full support. Sandu has declared a state of alert in Moldova at the beginning of the war and has, together with Ukraine, cut off its energy links to Russia on the eve of the military conflict. Moldova continues to assert that the small Russian garrison in Transnistria constitutes an occupation force on its territory.

Moldova and Georgia officially announced their bid for EU membership on March 3.

In February Iohannis announced the formation of a Romanian NATO battle group, after talks with French President Emmanuel Macron, who insisted on France being a “framework nation” in it. In a statement that is revealing of the way in which the population is kept in the dark of what are essentially military conspiracies, Iohannis stated, after explaining that all the details are in place and that “we know where it will be positioned” and that “in the end, when all is clarified and resolved, we will be able to make public statements about who is participating, where they will be positioned and other interesting details for the Romanian audience, but for the time being, no.”

French troops, part of NATO’s Response Force, have already made their way to Constanta County’s Mihail Kogălniceanu airbase, part of an initial contingent of 500 troops.

The SPD German Defence Minister Christine Lambrecht met on March 3 with her Romanian counterpart Social Democrat Vasile Dincu on the Kogălniceanu airbase to inspect the German deployment there. According to the Romanian government’s sources, the German contingent comprises 75 servicemen and 6 Eurofighter Typhoon fighters.

At the end of February, Italy sent for more planes and now has 8 fighters based on the airfield. Spain has sent 4 fighters and 130 servicemen to Bulgaria.

Romania essentially serves as a launching pad for the U.S. Air Force at the Black Sea, with important US bases and installations dotted around the country.

Romania itself has acquired, since the 2016 intensification of anti-Russian actions, 17 F16 fighter jets to complement its fleet of older MiG-21 Lancers.

The “Enhanced air police” operations that these forces are engaged in, even before the outbreak of hostilities in Ukraine, consist of constant shadowing and harassing Russian planes and vessels in the Black Sea.

The Bulgaria government is also signaling its full support for the imperialist push against Russia. The country is now ruled by a staunchly anti-Russian Prime Minister Kiril Petkov. His pro-EU party is heading a shaky coalition which includes the BSP for Bulgaria. BSP for Bulgaria is an alliance of Stalinist, Green and pseudo-left organizations, dominated by the Bulgarian Socialist Party, successor of the ruling Bulgarian Communist Party.

Petkov sacked his Defense Minister Stefan Yanev over his insufficient condemnation of Russia. Yanev had suggested that Bulgaria abstain from adopting a “pro-Russian, pro-American or pro-European position.” A retired general and former prime minister of the country, Yanev was no doubt giving voice to sections of the Bulgarian oligarchy who believe Bulgaria would benefit more from taking on the role of a mediator between the NATO powers and the Russian regime.

Socialist Party MPs have sparred with the government in recent weeks over the exact nature and wording of Bulgaria’s direct aid to Ukraine, but nevertheless the party maintains full support for the government.

Turkey ends remaining pandemic measures as over 200 die every day

Ulaş Ateşçi



Children wearing face masks for protection against the coronavirus, walk in Kugulu public garden, in Ankara, Turkey, Wednesday, May 13, 2020. (AP Photo/Burhan Ozbilici)

On Wednesday, as President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s government lifted remaining measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19, the Turkish Medical Association (TTB) and public health experts denounced this decision.

Health Minister Fahrettin Koca announced the decision at a press conference after the government’s so-called “Science Board” meeting. “I would like to say that corona affects Turkey less at the moment,” he claimed, before adding, “For a while, we have announced to you that the corona was off the agenda. We removed some restrictions when we realized that the epidemic was going to be over.”

Koca’s statement and the recent decisions are based not on science or protecting public health but on the profit interests of the capitalist ruling class and aim to divert public attention from continuing mass infections and deaths.

While the Erdoğan government declared that “coronavirus is off the agenda,” echoing similar statements from governments worldwide, the daily official number of new cases is over 60,000, and the daily death toll has not fallen below 200 for more than a month.

The total number of deaths that could have been prevented by taking necessary public health measures during the pandemic now exceeds 95,000, and excess deaths have reached 269,000, according to a calculation of Güçlü Yaman, a member of the TTB Pandemic Working Group. While political responsibility for this policy of mass infection and death lies firstly with the government, Turkey’s bourgeois opposition parties and trade unions support this policy and are also politically implicated.

The government’s declaration of the “end of the pandemic” comes as Russia has invaded Ukraine, and NATO is moving towards war against Russia. Turkey risks being quickly drawn into the war: A NATO member state, it neighbors both countries and controls the straits between the Mediterranean and Black Seas.

Alongside the war crisis, the Erdoğan government faces growing working class opposition to surging living costs and social inequality at home. As of February, official annual inflation reached 54 percent, while the independent Inflation Research Group (ENAGroup) announced that the real rate is 123 percent. As dozens of wildcat strikes erupted in 2022 involving about 25,000 workers, doctors and other health care workers repeatedly struck for higher wages and benefits. Health care workers are to mount a three-day nationwide strike starting March 14.

According to the new regulations, while the outdoor mask mandate is removed, “if the ventilation is sufficient and there is [social] distancing, it is no longer necessary to wear a mask indoors.” According to Health Minister Koca, the obligation to mask in closed areas will be limited to airplanes, buses, theaters, health institutions and schools. As there is no official monitoring of ventilation, this step paves the way for de facto abolition of the masking requirement in all indoor places.

Koca also announced that the official contact tracing application (HES) has been removed and that people who do not show signs of illness will not be tested. Accordingly, the HES code control will no longer be possible anywhere, and infected or exposed people will be able to travel everywhere.

Removing the remaining measures in schools puts children at greater risk. According to the health minister, “In cases where two infections are detected, there is no need to close a classroom. Students testing positive will be isolated, and education will continue.” Keeping schools open amid a deadly pandemic is seen as critical so that parents continue to go to factories and workplaces to create profits for the corporate and financial elite, whatever the cost in lives.

Denying all objective scientific fact and the World Health Organization’s (WHO) insistence that the pandemic is continuing, Koca said: “When a person says the pandemic is not over or the pandemic is over, the concrete reality does not change. The pandemic has lost its effect, this is a visible truth. We must stop the pandemic from being the main criterion of daily life.”

He declared: “We must move from the period of combating the pandemic through restrictions as a society to the stage of individual protection from the disease,” effectively announcing that his government had stopped pretending to be fighting the pandemic.

The Turkish Medical Association (TTB) sharply condemned the government’s new regulations in a press conference on Thursday. “The announced decisions are a harbinger of more infection and death,” it said, adding: “This step is the continuation of the state policies that have ignored public health since the beginning of the pandemic, but prioritized economic concerns.”

It noted that an average of 251 people lost their lives from COVID-19 in February, according to the official data, which is a gross underestimate. Fully 40 percent of all deaths in Turkey in the two-year pandemic occurred in the last six months.

The TTB stated that despite Minister Koca’s claim to “fight with vaccination” against COVID-19, daily vaccination rates fell to record lows (less than 100,000 per day). It added, “It should be answered how many preventable deaths of our citizens are considered acceptable in our country, where there is no adequate vaccine protection.”

While only 32 percent of the population in Turkey has had a booster dose, vaccination permission has not yet been issued for children under the age of 12.

Emphasizing that “the Health Ministry violates the right to life with these decisions,” the TTB urged the public to complete their vaccinations, take necessary measures, such as masking, social distance and ventilation, and “raise the demands for taking steps [against the pandemic] based on science.”

After Koca’s announcement, Prof. Dr. Mehmet Ceyhan, chair of the Infectious Diseases Association, wrote on Twitter, “We are trying a new way in the fight against the pandemic: the period without measures. Our rate of third dose vaccination is 32 percent, the number of active cases (number of people with a potential for transmission) is 616,964.” Ceyhan claimed the daily number of cases was 60,000, but only 10 percent of the cases could be detected because there was no mass testing.

Yesterday Ceyhan also pointed out that the abolition of the measures in New Zealand has led to a public health disaster. He wrote: “New Zealand, an island country. While they were one of the countries that had the best control of COVID with very strict measures, they relaxed the measures. The result: They break new case records every day.”

In New Zealand, with a population of 5 million, more than 23,000 cases were detected on March 3, and at least 146,000 people are currently infected. Until October 2021, when the New Zealand government began to lift public health measures, the total number of cases did not exceed 4,300, and only 27 people had died in total. As of March 3, the total number of cases exceeded 166,000, and the death toll reached 63.

COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness is rapidly waning in children

Benjamin Mateus


The fundamental feature of President Biden’s National COVID-19 Preparedness Plan is to ensure there will be no future economic and educational shutdowns whatever the cost to the population. In this regard schools have been the primary focus for the Democrats and Republicans, who understand quite well that economic output is directly related to having children in the classrooms so their parents can work. Yet, there is little discussion in his plan on declining vaccine effectiveness, especially in school-aged children, nor the evolution of coronaviruses with more immune-evading capacities.

Arihana Macias, 7, gets a compress after reviving the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine for children five to 12 years at a Dallas County Health and Human vaccination site in Mesquite, Texas, Thursday, Nov. 4, 2021. (AP Photo/LM Otero)

As the 94-page document notes, during last winter’s massive COVID wave, which killed more than 300,000 people in the US, only 46 percent of K-12 schools were open for in-person learning. The report then suggests a connection between school reopenings and economic performance: “Today, about 99 percent of K through 12 schools are open for in-person learning. And since President Biden took office, there has been historic job growth. The US economy created 6.6 million jobs in 2021—the strongest job growth of any year on record …”

The massive wave last winter was triggered by attempts to force schools back to in-person education, followed by record numbers of people traveling and gathering for the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays. Naturally, with the virus still widely present throughout communities, a devastating surge was the foreseeable result.

At the peak of the wave in mid-January 2021, there were about 211,500 pediatric infections reported. During that wave, from the beginning of October 2020 to the end of March 2021, about 170 children died from COVID.

The COVID vaccines, which were rolled out in mid-December 2020 and proved effective, became the means by which the federal government, states, and local officials coerced schools to reopen in the fall of 2021. However, two additional waves of COVID infections followed, the first with Delta (peak in September 2021 with 251,781) and then soon after with Omicron (peak in late January 2022 with 1,150,543).

Between the beginning of August 2021 and end of February 2022, more than 8.4 million children were infected, accounting for two-thirds of all pediatric COVID cases in the entire first two years of the pandemic.

According to the CDC’s tracker, just over 400 children had died from COVID by the end of summer 2021. Since then, another 1,000 children have succumbed, a product of school and day care reopenings that have allowed more virulent and contagious variants to spread unchecked.

For those who continue to insist that COVID doesn’t harm children, the flu statistics in the figure below demonstrate the dramatic reduction in flu cases in 2021. It also demonstrates how much deadlier COVID has been for children as compared to the flu.

Figure 1: Influenza-Associated Pediatric Deaths by Week of Death [Source: CDC]

There is a very clear and direct line from the initiation of these policies to the deadly outcomes being witnessed. In applauding the Biden administration’s efforts to ensure economic activities are back at a record pace, the pandemic preparedness plans make no reference to these statistics.

By April 19, 2021, all US states had declared Americans ages 16 and over eligible for the vaccines. On May 10, the FDA approved Pfizer’s COVID vaccine for adolescents aged 12 to 15. Then in November 2021, using a reduced vaccine dose (10 microgram), the FDA cleared the vaccine for children five to 11.

Most recently, the FDA postponed its Advisory Committee Meeting last month to discuss emergency use authorization for Pfizer’s COVID vaccine for children aged six months through four years (dosed at three micrograms) to allow the pharmaceutical giant to trial a third dose two months after the second dose. The vaccines had proved ineffective against the predominant Omicron variant, causing Pfizer to delay attempting a rollout. That leaves this sub-group of children, who number 24.6 million in all, quite vulnerable as Omicron leads to more hospitalizations and deaths. The figure from the Economist provides visual context to these developments.

Figure 2: COVID infections and hospitalizations in the US by age groups [Source: The Economist]

As of the last week of February, 7.1 million US children ages five through 11 have completed a two-dose vaccination series, accounting for only 25 percent of this age group. For children 12 to 17, 14.2 million or 57 percent of this age group has been fully vaccinated. As a whole, the 72.8 million children in the US remain quite vulnerable.

Yet, recent data is demonstrating the situation is even more concerning. Vaccine effectiveness for children has waned considerably. Data based on the New York state pediatric population, for those five to 11, shows vaccine effectiveness has declined from 100 percent to 48 percent, while the infection rate for vaccinated children is on par with those who never received the vaccines. The figure for vaccine effectiveness against infection shows a dramatic decline for the Omicron variant.

Figure 3: Vaccine effectiveness against infection, by week and year of age

For children 12 to 17, for the week ending November 29, prior to Omicron being detected in the US, vaccine effectiveness against infection compared to the unvaccinated showed an 85 percent protection rate. By mid-December, when Omicron represent 19 percent of all sequences, the effectiveness dropped to 65 percent. By January 24, 2022, with Omicron dominant, the effectiveness had dropped to 50 percent, as noted in the figure below. Vaccine effectiveness for older teens remained higher at 73 percent, but this too was down from a high of 94 percent.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) new guidelines and the repealing of all mask mandates in school by state officials will have a significant impact on the health of children. According to Education Week, a newly formed coalition called The Urgency of Equity, which include Yale University Epidemiology Professor Gregg Gonsalves, has called on schools to make high-quality masks available for all students and defended universal masking.

They wrote, “Healthy schools mean fewer children bringing the virus home to their families where it can spread to other vulnerable family members, including grandparents and younger siblings. Over 200,000 children have lost a caregiver during the pandemic, causing emotional stress, poor mental health, and severe disruptions to learning … Tragically, more than 400 teachers have died.”

Meanwhile, the Biden administration had promised $130 billion from his American Rescue Plan towards the improvement of school ventilation and also to allow schools to access tests and hire more teachers, nurses, and other staff. Such promises have yet to materialize, and may never.

“These improvements,” as Chalkbeat noted, “will take time, and some won’t be completed for years after the pandemic first disrupted schooling … With limited options for spending a big, one-time chunk of money, school districts are using part of it for expensive facilities projects, which may have only a tenuous connection to the pandemic and will take years to complete.”

By next week, only the District of Columbia and Hawaii will have mask mandates fully in place. California, New Jersey, Washington, Oregon, and possibly New York will end theirs soon. It remains to be seen how BA.2 will surface in the US. Last week it represented 8 percent of all sequenced variants and it continues to double weekly.

Who gets NATO’s weapons in Ukraine?

Jason Melanovski & Clara Weiss


As the war in Ukraine continues, NATO has been pouring weapons into the country under the banner of a campaign supposedly aimed at protecting “free” and “democratic” Ukraine from Russia. One of the many questions that is never raised in the media is: Who is getting these weapons?

A Ukrainian National guard soldier guards a mobile checkpoint together with the Ukrainian Security Service agents and police officers during a joint operation, in Kharkiv, Ukraine, Thursday, Feb. 17, 2022.

Workers must oppose the criminal war by the Putin regime against Ukraine from the standpoint of revolutionary socialism. However, the claims of the imperialist powers that they and the Zelensky government are defending “freedom and democracy” against “Putin’s Russia” are cynical and dangerous lies.

Since the US-backed far-right coup in Kiev in 2014, which overthrew a pro-Russian government, Ukraine has been systematically transformed into a launchpad for war against Russia. The build-up of its military and the far right has been a central component of this process and shaped the way that this war has evolved.

The large-scale weapons deliveries now underway are not only a direct provocation against Russia. Their primary beneficiaries, both politically and militarily, are far-right forces in both Ukraine and internationally, who are being strengthened and emboldened.

The Ukrainian armed forces and the Geneva Conventions

Officially, the weapons will primarily go to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. What is not stated, however, is that for the past week, Ukraine’s Armed Forces have been making statements that they intend to undertake actions that likely violate the Geneva Conventions—they constitute war crimes.

On Twitter, Telegram, Facebook and elsewhere, the country’s military has been conducting a depraved social media campaign, posting photos and videos of dead Russian soldiers. The gruesome images—and the glee with which they are posted—testify to the reactionary and right-wing nature of the forces fighting on behalf of imperialism in Ukraine.

The official Twitter account of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is airing particularly violent content, including a number of videos of the burned and dismembered bodies of Russian soldiers who had been traveling in tanks and armored vehicles. They may have been killed by the much-publicized US-made Javelin anti-tank missiles.

On Tuesday, the Facebook account of the Commander of Ukraine’s special forces announced it would no longer take Russian artillerymen prisoner, but kill them on the spot. The post also threatened that surrendering to Ukraine’s special forces would be worse than death and that captured Russian artillerymen would be “cut up like pigs.”

The Facebook post by the Commander of Ukraine’s Special Forces, announcing that captured Russian artillerymen would be “cut up like pigs”

These posts are the announcement of the intent to commit war crimes. Such policies are in direct violation of the Geneva Conventions regarding the treatment of prisoners of war (POW), which call for the humane treatment of POWs “in all circumstances.”

The social media accounts of Ukraine’s far-right forces, many of which are fully integrated into the army, are likewise rife with violent content and exhortations to commit atrocities against Russian soldiers.

Serhiy Sternenko, a well-known far-right “activist” who is currently serving in Ukraine’s military, has been busy since the start of the war popularizing anti-Russian slogans such as “Russophobia is not enough!” and posting content of dead Russian soldiers.

A tweet by the far-right Serhyi Sternenko, with a picture of a dead Russian soldier

Among the posts shared by Sternenko was a photo of a dead Russian paratrooper whose parachute failed to open, a dead and frozen Russian soldier, as well as videos of burned Russian tanks and bodies. The celebration of death is accompanied by mocking jokes.

One particularly gruesome TikTok video circulating on right-wing Ukrainian social media shows a young Russian soldier singing behind the wheel of a Russian vehicle. The video later cuts to a video of the same soldier dead in a field from a direct shot to the head.

Significant effort has gone into such propaganda, and it is clearly backed by the Ukrainian government, which is attempting to demonstrate that killing people is “cool” and “fun,” as the leader of the Neo-Nazi group C14 Yevhen Karas told his audience at a political seminar named after the Ukrainian Nazi-collaborator Stepan Bandera in early February. Karas has also bluntly stated that it is precisely because neo-Nazis like him love killing Russians that the West supplies them with weapons.

The Ukrainian armed forces may also be violating the Geneva Conventions by regularly recording and posting videos of captured or surrendered Russian soldiers on social media. Many of the soldiers appear extremely young and are clearly of a poor or rural background, and made to serve in a deadly campaign by the Russian oligarchy. Several seem to be answering under duress and in one video a Russian soldier refuses to shout the right-wing Ukrainian slogan Slava Ukraini!(Glory to Ukraine!) while being humiliated by Ukrainian interrogators.

The Geneva Conventions prohibit POWs from “insults” and “intimidation” being displayed for “public curiosity,” all of which the Ukrainian military is violating with such social media postings.

This reactionary online campaign has reached such a level that even the war-mongering Washington Post noticed and published an article titled, “The gory online campaign Ukraine hopes will sow anti-Putin dissent probably violates the Geneva Conventions,” on Thursday.

The Azov Battalion and the far right

The Azov Battalion, which openly glorifies Nazism and Ukrainian Nazi collaborators and played a principal role in the 2014 coup, has been accused of many war crimes, as well as rape and assassination. Since 2014, it has fully been integrated into the National Guard, thus receiving arms and training from the government. The Ukrainian government allows the Azov Battalion and other far-right formations to run “youth camps,” where children as young as 9 years old are indoctrinated with fascist ideology and taught how to use weapons.

It is these forces that are now receiving a significant portion of the massive weapons deliveries by NATO. The Azov Battalion is reportedly heavily involved in the battle over Mariupol, a city in southern Ukraine. According to a report by Newsweek, it has also formed its own “Azov territorial defense detachment” in Kiev.   

Even as he has been threatened and attacked by far-right tendencies like the Azov Battalion, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has made every effort to further integrate neo-fascist and paramilitary forces into the war effort. At the very beginning of the war, he announced that convicted criminals, including those serving sentences for war crimes, would be amnestied if they were ready to take up arms against Russia. He has called on “foreign fighters” to join the war in Ukraine.

Jonathan Brunson, a former political analyst for the US embassy in Ukraine, bluntly told Newsweek that before Russia’s invasion, “aid to the far-right was plausibly accidental. “But that may no longer be the case, because ‘all hands on deck’ means just that—and enables Ukraine’s far right to play a heroic role they otherwise wouldn’t.”

Not just the Ukrainian far right, but neo-fascist forces from all over the world, including the US and Europe, will now receive combat experience with the most advanced weapons in the world. They will also be able to continue developing their international networks, to which the Ukrainian far right, and especially the Azov Battalion, have long been central.   

Speaking to Newsweek, Hans-Jakob Schindler, senior director of the Counter Extremist Project, said: “Immediately after the invasion, some groups within Ukraine affiliated with right-wing extremism, in particular the Azov Regiment, which is now part of the Ukrainian Interior Ministry, have put out public calls on social media for volunteers to come and join them. The Azov Regiment issued fairly detailed travel instructions via its social media channels but made clear that a) travel will not be facilitated until the individual is in Ukraine and b) no payment will be given for the volunteers and c) several months of service should be expected.”

US preparations for an “insurgency” in Ukraine

The arming of Ukraine’s far right and its integration into the military effort is neither an accident nor a “mistake.”

The imperialist intervention in Ukraine has historically relied on the mobilization of fascistic forces. The CIA and other Western intelligence services established close ties with Ukrainian Nazi collaborators after the war, integrating them into their structures and deploying them in the Cold War against the Soviet Union.

The build-up of the far right in the lead-up to the 2014 coup and ever since stands in these traditions.

Moreover, since 2015, the CIA has engaged in systematic preparations for an “insurgency” in Ukraine. In January, a report by Yahoo News revealed that for the past eight years the CIA has been overseeing “a secret intensive training program in the U.S. for elite Ukrainian special operations forces and other intelligence personnel.” The program, according to Yahoo, involved “training in firearms, camouflage techniques, land navigation, tactics like ‘cover and move,’ intelligence and other areas, according to former officials.” A former CIA official told the news site that “The United States is training an insurgency,” teaching Ukrainians how “to kill Russians.”

A former senior intelligence official said, “If the Russians invade, those [graduates of the CIA programs] are going to be your militia, your insurgent leaders. We’ve been training these guys now for eight years. They’re really good fighters. That’s where the agency’s program could have a serious impact.”

Over the past year, US officials have repeatedly threatened that they intend to turn Ukraine, which used to be the world’s third-largest nuclear power, into “another Afghanistan” for Russia.

Demands grow in Washington for US war with Russia

Andre Damon


As the war between Russia and Ukraine entered its 10th day, the conflict is rapidly escalating. As the Russian military continues its advance toward the Ukrainian capital, Kiev, there are growing demands for direct US military intervention to target Russian forces in Ukraine.

This image shows a Russian SU-27 long-range fighter, as shown from the cockpit of UK Royal Air Force Typhoon fighter intercepting it over Estonia in 2019. The imposition of a no-fly zone over Ukraine would likely mean air-to-air combat between NATO and Russian aircraft. (Royal Air Force via AP)

On Thursday, US Senator Lindsay Graham, an influential Republican Senator, called for the assassination of Russian President Vladimir Putin.

“Is there a Brutus in Russia?”, Graham asked, referring to the assassination of Roman emperor Julius Caesar by Marcus Brutus and thus advocating what is, under international law, a war crime. “The only way this ends is for somebody in Russia to take this guy out. You would be doing your country—and the world—a great service.”

Graham’s comments were only the most extreme example of a growing chorus within the American political establishment for greater military escalation. Many of these involved calls for destroying all Russian aircraft operating over Ukraine, an action termed imposing a “no-fly zone.”

“Debate over Ukraine no-fly zone heats up,” wrote the Hill.

“This is a good moment to renew my call for a no-fly zone, at the invitation of the Ukraine government. I fear if this continues, we will have to intervene in a bigger way,” Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.), a pilot in the Air National Guard, tweeted within hours of Graham’s call. 

Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Miss.), who serves on the Senate Armed Services Committee, told the Huffington Post that a no-fly zone should be “seriously considered.”

In a pre-recorded message, Ukrainan President Zelensky called NATO “weak” for not imposing the no-fly zone, asserting: “NATO knowingly approved the decision not to close the skies over Ukraine. We believe that the NATO countries themselves have created a narrative that the alleged closing of the sky over Ukraine will provoke direct Russian aggression against NATO.”

“All the people who die from this day forward will also die because of you, because of your weakness, because of your lack of unity,” Zelensky said. 

For now, the White House and NATO have said they do not plan to impose a no-fly zone and thus enter a direct military conflict with Russia, a major nuclear-armed power.

“It would essentially mean the U.S. military would be shooting down planes—Russian planes. That is definitely escalatory. That would potentially put us into a place where we’re in a military conflict with Russia. That is not something the president wants to do,” White House press secretary Jen Psaki told MSNBC on Monday. “We are not going to have a military war with Russia with U.S. troops.”

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg echoed these statements, saying: “NATO is a defense alliance… NATO is not seeking a war with Russia.”

While the initial calls for a direct clash came from Republicans, they have now been taken up by members of the Democratic Party.

Lieutenant Colonel Alexander Vindman, a Democrat and a key figure in the first impeachment of US President Donald Trump, approved Kinzinger’s statements, despite coming next to a CNN caption warning that the setting up of a no-fly zone could lead to a “full-fledged war.”

“He is definitely on to something,” Vindman said of Kinzinger. “There is no such thing as a risk-free option, at this point. There are only calibrated- and risk-informed options.”

Former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, also a Democrat, told the Hill that “the option for a no-fly zone shouldn’t be taken off the table.”

“I just think it’s important to, to kind of protect all your options,” he said. “And even though they’ve gone on the record, I suspect that there have to be some people that are still giving some thought to a more limited approach if it is required.”

Retired Brig. Gen. Kevin Ryan told the Hill he “suggested” that “the U.S. and NATO could establish a no-fly zone over the western part of the country where Russian troops haven’t arrived.”

Over the weekend, four-star U.S. Air Force Gen. Philip Breedlove, who led U.S. forces in Europe and served as NATO’s supreme allied commander from 2013 to 2016, demanded that the United States and NATO set up a no-fly zone over Ukraine. He admitted that this would be “an act of war” against Russia.

Foreign Policy asked Breedlove, “Yet, in spite of all of that, you said you would actually support the idea of a no-fly zone?”

To this, Breedlove replied, “Are we going to sit and watch while a world power invades and destroys and subjugates a sovereign nation? Are we just going to watch?”

Breedlove went on to explain exactly what this would mean:

“if you put a no-fly zone in the eastern part of Ukraine, for instance, and we’re going to fly coalition or NATO aircraft into that no-fly zone, then we have to take out all the weapons that can fire into our no-fly zone and cause harm to our aircraft. So that means bombing enemy radars and missile systems on the other side of the border. And you know what that means, right? That is tantamount to war. So, if we’re going to declare a no-fly zone, we have to take down the enemy’s capability to fire into and affect our no-fly zone.”

Further calls for military escalation came from the Washington Post in the form of an editorial. “Alas, the Russians are making gains in the southern part of the country, along the Black Sea coast, threatening to cut off Ukrainian forces. All the more reason for the United States and European allies,” the Post writes, “to speed… weapons to its military, lest Mr. Putin actually win.”

These extremely belligerent statements come amid renewed warnings of just how dangerous the situation is. “Russia’s nuclear alert means NATO must tread carefully,” noted a column in the Financial Times. It added that in the “current scenario, Russian leaders are most likely to use a tactical nuclear weapon to prevent or put an end to NATO intervention.”

It continued, “Russian leaders, for example, might see volunteers from NATO countries filtering into Ukraine as covert advance guards for a full-scale intervention. They might regard arms convoys coming to Ukraine from NATO states as the functional equivalent of intervention.”

The article concluded: “If it is truly not the intention of western leaders to intervene, they should make sure that their forces act in ways that will convince Russian leaders of that. The world may depend on it.”

In reality, Washington is taking extraordinarily provocative steps, seeking not a negotiated settlement to end the conflict, but to escalate and inflame it.

On Friday, Voice of America, the state-owned broadcaster of the United States, published an article entitled “American Veterans Volunteer to Fight in Ukraine,” which reported:

“A representative of the Ukrainian Embassy in Washington told VOA that 3,000 U.S. volunteers have responded to the nation’s appeal for people to serve in an international battalion that will help resist Russia’s invading forces.”

The article was subsequently deleted without explanation.

Meanwhile, US and NATO weaponry continues to pour into Ukraine’s borders, while the country’s financial system is being largely excised from the global economy and  is being subjected to a de facto economic blockade.

According to the United Nations, 331 Ukrainian civilians have been killed in the fighting so far, and 1.2 million people have fled.