Siwei Liu
President Xi Jinping’s six-day South Asian trip is over. Apart from a
series of bilateral agreements, friendly high-level dialogues and other
interactions, the trip also demonstrated the direction of China’s South
Asian policy. Indeed, with growing bilateral and multilateral
interactions with South Asia, China is looking for a more flexible and
comprehensive policy to accommodate the present situation, and to some
extent, respond to the related arguments of China as a threat in the
region.
Admittedly, one of the challenges for China’s current South Asian policy
is how to address doubts about the motivations for China’s foreign
policy in the region, in particular, India’s worries about the “China
threat.” China has repeatedly stated that it is keen on promoting
peaceful development and cooperation toward win-win outcomes and
cooperate with India towards regional prosperity, but in some Indian
assessments, China’s rising profile in South Asia is not good news. For
example, an Indian analyst argues that China is expanding its sphere of
regional influence by surrounding India with a ‘string of pearls’ that
could eventually undermine India pre-eminence and potentially become an
economic and security threat.
Obviously, Xi’s visits in September not only tried to confirm that
Beijing is putting greater emphasis on this region, but also demonstrate
that it want to address its neighbours’ “China threat” perception. For
this, the Chinese leader presented Beijing current South Asian policy
with some new characteristics.
First, Xi emphasised common regional development. In his speech at the
Indian Council of World Affairs, he said, “A South Asia that enjoys
peace, stability, development and prosperity serves the interests of
countries and people in the region and of China as well. China wants to
live in harmony with all countries in the region and contribute its
share to the development of the region. ” Xi not only suggested that
China should work with the relevant countries to step up economic
integration and connectivity in the region but also proposed that they
come together to join the “Belt” and “Road” initiatives that aim at
strengthening connectivity among countries along the traditional land
and maritime silk roads.
Second, Xi emphasised multi-dimensional cooperation with South Asian
partners. For economic cooperation, in the next five years, China plans
to work with South Asian countries to increase bilateral trade to US$150
billion, its investments in South Asia to US$30 billion, and provide
US$20 billion in concessional facilities to the region. It needs to be
mentioned that Beijing also focuses on other modes of cooperation and
interaction with South Asia. China is concentrating its efforts on
expanding people-to-people and cultural exchanges with South Asia. It
plans to offer 10,000 scholarships, training opportunities for 5,000
people, an exchange and training programme for 5,000 youth, and train
5,000 Chinese language teachers for South Asia in the next five years.
In addition, China will work with South Asian countries to implement the
China-South Asia Partnership Initiative for Science and Technology,
give full play to the role of the China-South Asia Expo, and build new
platforms for mutually beneficial cooperation.
There is no denying that during his trip, President Xi reaffirmed
China’s good neighbourly foreign policy and made efforts to deepen
strategic relations at the multilateral and bilateral levels, which is a
timely move. It reflects what President Xi described: “the principles
of China's neighbour diplomacy as amity, sincerity, mutual benefit and
inclusiveness.” However, a one-time diplomatic trip may not be enough to
address all the concerns and issues.
Although Xi’s South Asian trip opened a new door for China-South Asia
relations, it is necessary for China to understand that challenges and
problems still exist. In the future, China needs to undertake more
dialogues and interactions both through the official and civilian
channels with South Asia, in particular, India. As the two biggest
powers in the region, China and India should both be positive and see
the multiple levels of potential interaction in the future, and join
hands in cooperation. It will benefit this region and the rest of Asia
as well. In addition, China also should be aware of other challenges it
might face such as how to deal with South Asia’s complicated regional
relations, in particular, India-Pakistan relations, which needs China’s
smart and cautious diplomacy. Other issues like Afghanistan’s stability
and development, especially after 2014, will also test Chinese political
and diplomatic wisdom. Just as some analysts say, China should realize
that instability in one part of the region inevitably bleeds into other
parts of South Asia and could possible threaten China.
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