Alexander Fangmann
The United States and Cuba have ended two days of talks, held
Thursday and Friday last week in Havana. The first high-level
discussions since 1980 are aimed at normalizing relations between the
two countries. Though no significant changes were announced in the
immediate wake of the meeting, both countries have described it as part
of a “process.” In fact, there is now significant momentum behind a
rapprochement, with Cuba eager to make accommodations to US imperialism
before it faces a serious financial crisis, and the US moving to
undercut Cuban ties to Russia and China.
The lack of immediate
progress may set back the goal of restoring full diplomatic relations in
time for the Summit of the Americas in April, which both Cuban
President Raul Castro and US President Barack Obama are expected to
attend.
The head of the US delegation, Roberta S. Jacobson,
assistant secretary of state for Western Hemisphere affairs, indicated
that rather than meeting this kind of deadline, the negotiations may be
protracted, saying, “Our efforts to normalize relations will be a
continuing process that goes beyond diplomatic ties and the opening of
embassies,” and that “We have made further steps in that direction.”
The
most serious obstacle that has emerged is the US insistence that its
officials be allowed unrestricted travel within the country, including
the ability to meet with the “dissidents” that it funds in efforts to
destabilize the regime. This is entirely in keeping with the ultimate US
goal of replacing the current regime in Cuba with a more pliant one.
However, it has provoked resistance from the Cuban delegation to the
talks, led by Josefina Vidal, head of the Foreign Ministry’s US
Division. She made a statement in regard to the future free movement of
diplomats, that “this consideration is associated with better behavior.”
As
if to underscore the US position, Jacobson hosted a breakfast meeting
for dissidents on Friday. Among the attendees were a number of the 53
political prisoners recently released by the Cuban government as a
result of the talks that led to this meeting.
Vidal said, “This is
exactly one of the differences we have with the US government because
for us, this is not just genuine, legitimate Cuban civil society.” In
response to Jacobson’s claim that human rights are the “center of our
policy,” the Cuban delegation pointedly referred to police shootings in
the US as well as the continued detention of prisoners at the Guantanamo
Bay Naval Base.
Another sticking point in the discussions is the
US designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism—an inversion of
the actual relationship, in which the United States has repeatedly
supported terrorist acts and harbored terrorist fugitives, such as Luis
Posada Carriles, convicted in absentia of the bombing of Cubana Flight 455, in which 73 people were killed.
Vidal
expressed that “it would be difficult to explain that diplomatic
relations have been resumed while Cuba is still unjustly listed as a
state sponsor of international terrorism.” To this end, Obama has asked
the State Department to initiate a review culminating in a
recommendation to be presented to him in six months, a move revealing
the extent to which the list in question—which includes only Iran,
Sudan, Syria, and Cuba—is a political creation. This is, of course,
entirely in keeping with the hypocritical and phony character of the
“war on terror.”
Whatever the Obama administration’s pretensions,
Washington’s efforts to open relations with Cuba have nothing to do with
the promotion of “human rights” or democracy. Rather, the goal is to
deny access to Cuba’s economy by regional rivals such as Brazil and
Venezuela, as well as Russia and ultimately China, in its bid to
encircle and contain the latter’s rise. As if to emphasize the
geopolitical calculations involved, while the meetings in Cuba were
underway, the Russian surveillance ship Viktor Leonov CCB-175 was moored
in Havana’s harbor.
Moreover, there are a number of business
interests hoping to take advantage of cheap Cuban labor, under the
discipline of either the Cuban Stalinists or a future more pliant regime
based on bourgeois layers currently being cultivated through
remittances and more direct forms of funding. The US Chamber of Commerce
led a trip to the island last year, and there has been a growing call
from wealthy Cuban exiles to scrap the embargo in order to resume direct
capitalist exploitation of the island’s workers. Movement in this
direction has only accelerated with the recent slowdowns in the economy,
particularly oil and manufacturing which have been hit by slowing
worldwide demand.
On January 15, further easing of travel
restrictions for US nationals to Cuba took effect, wherein US citizens
no longer have to apply for a specific license from the Treasury
Department. Though tourism is technically still prohibited, a broad
range of activities qualify, including professional research and
meetings, journalism, educational activities, religious activities,
public performances, sporting events, support for the Cuban people,
humanitarian activities, and export or import of information or
information technology.
Many US companies stand to profit from the
changes, including agricultural and telecommunications firms which are
now able to draw on more convenient financial arrangements that will
fuel commercial activity. Financial services companies also stand to
make swift gains from the relaxation. Travelers will now be allowed to
use US-issued credit and bank cards, with MasterCard being the first to
announce that its cards will be usable in Cuba on March 1.
At the
same time that the US government hopes to reestablish Cuba as a
semi-colony, the Cuban regime is appealing to US imperialism over fears
that Venezuela, due to the recent fall in oil prices and its own ongoing
economic crisis, will no longer be able to supply the nearly 100,000
barrels per day of oil to Cuba at extremely subsidized prices.
According
to some estimates, the subsidies might amount to 15 percent of Cuban
GDP, and economist Carmelo Mesa Lago has stated that the nominal amount
of Venezuelan support is more than that which was supplied by the Soviet
Union, before its support was also withdrawn in a period of falling oil
prices, and ultimately the dissolution of the USSR.
The Cuban
regime is gambling that it might be allowed to stay on as a labor police
force and junior partner to American capitalism as it seeks to exploit
cheap Cuban labor. This entirely substantiates the political evaluation
of the Cuban regime made by the International Committee of the Fourth
International. The efforts of the ruling layer led by Raul Castro to
ingratiate itself to American imperialism is likely a futile one, but it
speaks volumes that it sees more hope in Obama and the US
military-intelligence apparatus he represents than in either the
American or Cuban workers and their revolutionary capacity.
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